郭思治: 大市喘定之余 技术上或可伺机上试28,884点
香港股票分析师协会副主席郭思治称,大市经过周二(18日)之急升,技术上已初呈回稳之讯号,以恒指当日报收在28,593点计,即已初步重越10天线(28,304点)及20天线(28,570点),单从形态上看,大市不但已渐摆脱进一步寻底之威胁,且只要大市再作较明显之抽升,技术上更可伺机上破50天线(28,683点)及100天线(28,751点),甚至伺机上试本月7日之高位28,884点,值得留意的是,只要恒指能上破28,884点,则本月大市之形态将可扭转成先低而後高,故主要恒指成份股能否进一步上升将至为关键。
大市将步入5月份之下旬,故即月期指转仓及结算等相关活动将渐主导大局,未来数个交易日之表现确相当重要,谈到此点,当需留意美团点评(03690.HK)能否重越早前配股价273.8元及阿里巴巴(09988.HK)能否回升上220元,因两者在恒指内之成份比重均各占5%,对大市当具一定影响力。
(笔者为证监会持牌人)~
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