植耀輝: 美股反彈道指升433點 港股勢偏弱宜審慎
耀才證券研究部總監植耀輝稱,美股隔晚(13日)又再大幅波動,三大指數經歷周三大跌後昨日開市早段呈反彈,惟納指一度倒跌,其後又再度回升,最終道指上升433點或1.29%,收報34,021點,標普500指數上升1.22%,收報4,112點,納指則收報13,124點,上升93點或0.72%。
至於港股方面,受美國通脹升溫拖累,恆指昨日大跌512點,並以全日最低位27,718點收市。除科技股繼續捱沽外,就連早前強勢之創科(00669.HK)亦急跌近一成。事實上,昨日亞太區股市全線下跌,日本股市跌幅更達到2.5%,恆指跌幅雖然較少,為1.81%,但由年初至今計升幅已進一步收窄至不足1.8%,科指更已累跌近一成。由於短期大市投資氣氛偏弱,中美股市表現仍難以看好,就如早前提到,基於市場不確定性甚多,現水平亦不宜急於撈底。
亦要跟進創科最新情況及部署。創科股價昨日大跌,或與以下兩個原因有關。其一是其最大客戶之一HomeDepot周三(12日)股價隔晚大跌超過4%,為最大跌幅道指成份股,或反映投資者擔心美國加息將阻礙經濟表現;其次是原材料價格上升或有損製造業毛利率,故令創科在內之工業股股價受壓。由於商品價格短期內難大跌,因此與製造業相關之板塊或仍會受壓,不過創科最強的地方在於其研發能力,故預期影響或相對較少,而且隔晚HomeDepot股價已見回升(上升2.66%,為道指成份股最大升幅股份),因此已持貨之投資者仍可繼續作中長線持有。
(筆者為證監會持牌人,並未持有相關股份)
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恆指正式跌穿5月3日低位28256點支持
耀才研究部稱,隔晚(13日)美股反彈,道指高開高走,盤中最多升594點,高見34,181點,收市亦升433點或1.29%,報34,021點;標普升1.2%,納指升0.7%。市場聚焦業績股,迪士尼上季營業收入和串流媒體平台付費用戶人數,都差過市場預期,股價盤後下挫4%。阿里(09988.HK)截至3月底止的季度出現經營虧損76.63億元人民幣,主要由於反壟斷法罰款影響,扣除罰款的影響,經調整經營利潤為105.7億元,同比增長48%,隔晚ADS跌超5%以上。友邦(01299.HK)第一季新業務價值上升19%至10.52億美元,新業務價值利潤率由2020年第一季的56.6%上升至61.6%,表現亦較去年全年57.7%為佳。
恆指目前跌穿首個支持位在5月3日低位28,256點,恆指一旦再跌穿此關,將會打破橫行長方型之格局,其時較關鍵的支持位將會退至28,000點心理關口及3月25日低位27,505點。
(筆者為證監會持牌人)~
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