植耀辉: 通胀超预期震散美股 港股下行压力仍大
耀才证券研究部总监植耀辉称,美国上月CPI数据大幅高於市场预期,引发市场对通胀之忧虑,美股三大指数隔晚(12日)继续大幅波动,道指急跌681点或2%,收报33,587点,标普500指数下跌2.14%,收报4,063点,纳指跌幅更大,下跌357点,跌幅达2.67%,收报13,031点。
港股方面,昨日出现显着反弹,虽然中段一度受日股及台股急跌拖累而倒跌,但很快已能收复失地,并在科技股及A股回升支持下回升217点,收报28,231点。值得留意的是,南向净流入金额显着,达到98.1亿元,反映北水入市博捞底机会不低。当中腾讯(00700.HK)获北水净流入近40亿元。
经历周二急跌後,恒指总算能初步企稳28,000点水平,只是整体表现仍未算太突出,至於科技股是否已「跌完」现阶段仍言之尚早,毕竟累积跌幅不少,昨日亦可能仅属技术反弹而已。未来须继续留意北水动态,以及上综指能否企稳3,450点水平。另外亦要留意外围市况之变化。相信恒指会续维持拉锯格局不变,并於28,000至29,000点水平上落。
(笔者为证监会持牌人,持有腾讯股份)
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美国通胀十三年最强 科技股重现抛售潮
耀才研究部称,隔晚(12日)美股急挫,美国4月份消费物价指数(CPI)按月升幅由3月份的0.6%加速至0.8%,创2009年以来最高,远超市场预期的0.2%,但引发了通胀升温的忧虑,道指盘中最多下泻713点,收市亦靠近全日低位收跌近2%,科技股抛售潮再度重现,纳指收跌2.7%。虽然多名联储局官员早已相继指现时经济前景仍有风险,讨论减码宽松为时过早,联储局副主席则暗示距联储局「收水」还有一段日子,但他同时表明,如果有需要遏止通胀,将毫不犹豫采取行动。
Tesla(TSLA.US)暂停接受以比特币(Bitcoin)购买电动车,因担心进行比特币挖矿及交易活动令化石燃料使用量迅速增加,比特币一度跌穿5万美元水平,资产风险增强,反映市场恐慌情绪的VIX指数升26%。今日(13日)多只科网股将公布季绩,包括阿里(09988.HK)、B站(09626.HK)、中芯(00981.HK)及华虹(01347.HK),留意业绩能否为市场带来惊喜。
恒指目前首个支持位在5月3日低位28,256点,恒指一旦再跌穿此关,将会打破横行长方型之格局,其时较关键的支持位将会退至28,000点心理关口及3月25日低位27,505点。
(笔者为证监会持牌人)~
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