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植耀辉: 议息无惊喜美股回落 港交所(00388.HK)500元关口阻力大
阿思达克 04-29 11:03
耀才证券研究部总监植耀辉称,美国联储局议息会议後一如市场预期维持息率不变,但指部分资产价格存在「泡沫」。受此影响,隔晚(28日)美股三大指数均以跌市告终,当中道指下跌165点或0.48%,收报33,820点,标普500指数则微跌3点,收报4,183点,纳指下跌39点,收报14,051点。

港股昨日继续维持窄幅上落,全日波幅不足200点,不过最终仍能以全日最高位收市,上升129点,收报29,071点,成交金额1,362亿元。昨日公布业绩之汇控(00005.HK)有份支持大市表现,上升3.15%,单一股份贡献恒指71点,另一业绩股万洲(00288.HK)亦升3.15%。另外内银股午後亦见资金追捧,建行(00939.HK)便升1.6%。

港股现时仍处於区间上落,投资气氛仍较观望,毕竟困扰大市之因素仍多,当中疫情状况仍是一大变数,另外,今日起港股通将暂定,至下周四(5月6日)始恢复正常,预期成交量或会进一步转趋淡静,相信港股仍较缺乏方向,并於28,500至29,500点水平上落。

股份方面,港交所(00388.HK)昨日公布首季业绩,纯利按年升70%,不过未有对股价带来太大刺激,全日计股价更以下跌告终,收报488.8元,下跌1.2元。事实上,增长强劲已是市场预期之内,只看能否再有惊喜而已;不过近日港股成交有所回落,令港交所股价有点停滞不前。当然,论前景港交所未来仍有中概股回归等憧憬,按理不会太差,惟短期走势则主要视乎市场气氛,而500元关口过去亦见较大阻力,且看此水平能否有所突破。

(笔者为证监会持牌人,并未持有相关股份)

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恒指能否突破50天线将是关键

耀才研究部称,美国联储局议息结果一符市场预期之内,维持利率及买债规模不变。其後储局主席鲍威尔发表言论称,现在并非联储局缩减量宽的沟通时机,消息带动美股跌幅收窄,标普500指数更一度转涨破顶,但尾市高位有回吐,拖累三大指数最终微跌收市。港股ADR普遍靠稳,「黑期」今早亦升逾150点高见29,150点以上水平,恒指今早(29日)有望裂口高开,再度挑战50天线之阻力。

今日为即月期指结算日,恒指整个月份几乎是反覆於100天线至50天线间横行上落,此两度平均移动线正处於28,482点至29,136点,区间目前更不足700点。维持早前看法,指数较关键的支持位乃100天线,相信只要恒指未有正式跌穿此关,目前对後市之看法仍不宜过分悲观,如恒指最终能突破50天线,首个目标将可上望3月18日高位29,596点。

(笔者为证监会持牌人)~

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