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植耀辉: 不明因素多 港股後市续拉锯
阿思达克 04-26 10:54
耀才证券研究部总监植耀辉称,美股上周五(23日)表现不俗,楼市数据表现理想稍为缓解投资者对拜登政府有意加税之担忧,美股三大指数均上扬,当中以纳指升幅最大,达到1.4%,道指及标普则分别上升0.7%及1.1%。

港股方面,恒指上周五在新经济股支持下上升323点,突破29,000点水平并企稳,全周计亦升109点,为连续第二个星期上升,走势略为见有改善,不过大市是否已重拾上升动力则言之尚早,当然上综指企稳3,450点亦可视为其後市其中一个较利好指标,只是外围市况依然波动,印度疫情大爆发令环球经济复苏路变得举步维艰,另外联储局本周亦将举行议息会议,在外围仍有较多变数下,整体看法仍未敢过於乐观。另外,本周开始陆续会有大型企业公布首季业绩,当中便包括汇控(00005.HK)及港交所(00388.HK),表现亦会对後市有一定启示。预期港股暂将维持上落格局,於28,500至29,500点水平徘徊整固。

(笔者为证监会持牌人,并未持有相关股份)

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港股未能突破 留意美国议息会议及业绩

耀才研究部称,上周五(23日)美股先低後高,标普及纳指均收升逾1%,美国4月Markit制造业和服务业PMI增速创下2009年有纪录以来新高,分别报60.6及63.1,经济活动持续复苏,刺激了商品价格的走势,国际铜价收市创逾九年新高,并录得连续第三周上升。纽约5月期铜收市涨1.49%,每磅报4.336美元,为2011年8月以来最高水平。上周累计升约4%。

展望本周,联储局将举行一连两天议息会议,留意官员对通胀压力的看法。另一方面,白宫将宣布另一轮经济刺激计划,有关键民主党参议员反对拜登的2.3万亿基建计划,而且投资者仍在观望其加税计划能否得以通过。除此之外多间科技龙头亦会公布季绩,关注对下季业务的指引,将为本港产业链带来启示。

恒指上周反覆於20天线至50天线间横行上落,但如前文所述,指数较关键的支持位乃100天线,该平均移动线已上移至28,436点水平左近,相信只要恒指未有正式跌穿此关,目前对後市之看法仍不宜过分悲观。

(笔者为证监会持牌人)~

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