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植耀輝: 美股三大指數齊跌 港股維持上落市
阿思達克 04-23 10:42
耀才證券研究部總監植耀輝稱,美股隔晚(22日)又再顯著回落,美國總統拜登擬調高資本利得稅,消息即時令美股急挫,美股三大指數均下跌,當中道指下跌321點或0.9%,收報33,815點,標普500指數及納指則分別下跌38點或131點,收報4,134點及13,818點。

至於港股,昨日表現大致向好,在騰訊(00700.HK)及美團(03690.HK)雙雙造好,恆指最終上升133點,收報28,755點,當中單計騰訊及美團已貢獻恆指近100點,不過個別板塊跌幅顯著,汽車股便是其中之一個重災區。吉利(00175.HK)為跌幅最大成份股,一度低見21.25元,最終則收報22.1元,下1.8%。不過個別車股跌勢顯著,長汽(02333.HK)首季業績雖虧轉盈,但因季績表現遜預期,加上被多間大行調低目標價,股價大跌12.7%。筆者一向對汽車股看法中性,除大行提到之芯片供應短缺及原材料價上升外,亦關注行業競爭情況,故繼續不建議買入,惟獨吉利19元水平支持力度強,純以博反彈心態的話,不穿此水平可繼續持有。

雖然港股跟隨外圍出現反彈,但後市去向仍未明朗,特別是上綜指又再輾轉回落至3,450點附近水平,短期內且看能否守穩。不過港股現時觀望氣氛濃厚,暫亦難見突破,故預期將繼續於28,000至29,000點上落。

(筆者為證監會持牌人,持有騰訊股份)

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大市爭持 關注港股季績期

耀才研究部稱,隔晚(22日)美股三大指數均下挫約1%,美國經濟數據參差,新申領失業救濟人數減少3.9萬人,至54.7萬,創疫情爆發以來新低,同時優於預期的61萬,但另一方面樓市數據卻未及預期。加上總統拜登擬向年收入超過100萬美元的富人徵收合共最高43.4%資本利得稅,較當前聯邦資本利得稅稅率為20%增逾一倍,高增長類股份普遍受壓,Tesla(TSLA.US)跌逾3%,Amazon(AMZN.US)跌1.6%。

港股ADR變動不大,投資者留意業績股,中國平安(02318.HK)淨利潤272億元人民幣,升4.5%;壽險及健康險新業務價值增長15.4%至189.8億元人民幣,均符合市場預期,期內為華夏幸福(600340.SH)相關投資資產進行減值計提及估值調整182億元人民幣,對純利影響為100億元人民幣,留意此一次性不明朗因素於未來能否完全消除。

恆指再度於10天及20天線水平爭持,但如前文所述,指數較關鍵的支持位乃100天線,該平均移動線已上移至28,350點水平左近,相信只要恆指未有正式跌穿此關,目前對後市之看法仍不宜過分悲觀。

(筆者為證監會持牌人)~

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