《即日市评》忧现「抽水潮」港股向下 安踏跌穿配售价
相继有大型配股活动令市场担心出现「抽水潮」,港股今日受外围拖累向下。市场忧新冠疫情发展,美股道指及纳指昨晚各跌0.8%及0.9%,亚太股市向下,日经收挫591点或2%续创近一个月低。执笔之时美汇指数升至91.33水平,美股道指期货最新升11点或0.03%,纳指期货最新跌0.3%。国家外交部宣布应美国总统拜登邀请,国家主席习近平将於4月22日在北京以视频方式出席领导人气候峰会并发表重要讲话。上证综指全日平收收报3,472、深证成指升0.35%,内地创业板指数涨0.7%,沪深两市成交额共逾7,435亿人民币。
恒指今早低开433点,早段曾跌628点一度低见28,506点,其後在28,600点楼上窄幅争持,最终全日跌513点或1.8%,收28,621点;国指跌197点或1.8%,收10,888点;恒生科技指数跌126点或1.5%,收8,185点。大市全日成交总额1,543.54亿元,沪、深港通南下交易录得净流入金额分别为27.99亿及26.27亿元人民币。美团(03690.HK)今日股价下滑3.9%收282.2元,阿里巴巴(09988.HK)跌2.8%。
【忧现「抽水潮」 安踏股价挫】
安踏体育(02020.HK)遭大股东按每股131.48元折让7.5%配股减持涉套现逾115亿元,今日股价下挫7.7%收131.1元。花旗发表报告指,今次配股是中国内需股近十年最大规模配售交易之一,预计今次大股东配股减持会令投资者对安踏股票出现负面情绪,加上安踏品牌的整体零售额增幅明显低於李宁(02331.HK),而安踏首季的线下销售与2019年同期相比只录得温和增长,同样低於李宁。而花旗维持安踏「沽售」评级及目标价49.6元。
高盛表示,参考安踏过往主要股东配股减持历史(分别为2009年10月、2014年10月及2017年3月,公布配股後当日股价各跌7%、8%及8%),相信主要股东减持行动对其短期股价有一定的下行压力。虽然安踏体育今次遭大股东配股减持,但对安踏的长期增长前景持乐观态度,料可得益於其在内地的强大实力品牌策略,可捕捉不同的消费需求细分市场及其内地业务具的强劲执行力,重申对安踏「买入」评级及目标价158元。
【跌股千一只 ASM逆市弹】
港股今日市宽转弱,主板股票的升跌比率14比28(上日为21比21),下跌股份1,157只(跌幅2.1%),恒指成份股今日7只股份上升,下跌股份48只,升跌比率为13比87(上日为62比33);大市今日录沽空194.61亿元,占可沽空股份成交1,323.28亿元的14.707%(上日11.288%)。
ASM太平洋(00522.HK)今日逆市抢高18.2%收118.8元。ASM太平洋公布今年首季业绩,持续经营业务营业额43.37亿元按年升45.6%,纯利5.22亿元按年升21.1倍;每股盈利1.27元。毛利率为39.6%,按季上升4.12个百分点,按年升2.68个百分点。公司预期,今年第二季收入介乎6至6.5亿美元之间,更料下半年度收入仍将表现强劲。
摩根士丹利表示,ASM太平洋今年首季收入5.59亿美元,高於公司早前之指引;毛利率达39.6%,按季及按年分别扩大4.1个及2.7个百分点,整体每股盈利表现高於市场预期。公司季内订单出货比率为1.8,是过去十年最高的水平,该行认为在设备供应短缺下,其订单出货比率会持续强劲,重申其「增持」评级,目标价为131元。(wl/a)
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