《专题》摩通对美团(03690.HK)旗下社区团购及总体业绩预测(表)
摩根大通於上月底发表报告,列出对美团(03690.HK)旗下社区团购业务未来业绩预测:
季度│去年第四季│今年第一季预测
社区团购收入│3.6亿元│13.5亿元
每单收入│0.8元│1元
交易总额(GMV)│45亿元(按年升5%)│135亿元(按年升15%)
营运溢利│亏损30.6亿元│亏损60.93亿元
以上货币单位均为人民币
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年度│2020年│2021年预测│2022年预测
社区团购收入│4.8亿元│154亿元│419亿元
-按年变幅│-│+31.1倍│+172%
交易总额(GMV)│60亿元│1,101亿元│2,466亿元
-按年变幅│-│+17.4倍│+124%
营运溢利│亏损36亿元│亏损265亿元│亏损182亿元
以上货币单位均为人民币
年度│2023年预测│2024年预测
社区团购收入│924亿元│1,605亿元
-按年变幅│+120%│+74%
交易总额(GMV)│4,863亿元│8,023亿元
-按年变幅│+97%│+65%
营运溢利│亏损逾93亿元│亏转盈赚154亿元
以上货币单位均为人民币
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此外,该行亦列出美团今明两年业绩预测
年度│2020年│2021年预测│2022年预测
收入│1,148亿元│1,800亿元│2,362亿元
经调整盈利│31.21亿元│亏损116.7亿元│48.83亿元
以上货币单位均为人民币
(wl/t)
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