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植耀辉: 新经济股限制恒指升幅 美团(03690.HK)中性看法不变
阿思达克 04-20 09:59
耀才证券研究部总监植耀辉称,港股昨日(19日)表现不俗,全日计恒指上升136点,收报29,106点,成交金额亦增至1,501.6亿元。港股能有理想表现,大部分原因似乎是与A股有关,皆因A股走势有所转强,特别是上综指又再次突破3,450点支持,所以如短期A股继续造好,相信港股或有机会有所突破。只是科技股走势仍然较逊色,昨日ATM三者均逆市下跌,反映大市投资气氛仍有所保留。当然三者各有其消息,不过如A股仍再有突破,则港股目标有望进一步上移,预期暂於28,500至29,500点水平上落。

当中亦可谈谈美团(03690.HK)。公司於昨日收市後宣布以先旧後新配股,以及发行可换股债券,合共集资近一百亿美元,集资所得用於投入科技创新及用於对无人配送等科技研发。笔者相信由於美团仍将加大发展社区团购等新业务之上,对资金渴求仍殷切,加上早前已有不少相关消息,故集资亦属预期之内。问题只是烧钱进度如何,同时新业务何时扭亏仍属未知之数,加上未来尚有政策风险,所以对集团前景看法仍倾向中性,即使配股消息终落实消除一不确定性,但现阶段仍不建议大家入市矣!

(笔者为证监会持牌人,并未持有相关股份)

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全球疫情反覆 留意A股短期後市表现

耀才研究部称,隔晚(19日)美股下跌,全球疫情反覆限制大市表现,TESLA(TSLA.US)电动车在美国德州发生意外,股价跌逾3%,亦拖累纳指跌幅接近1%。港股ADR偏软,「黑期」今早亦跌近200点,恒指早段很大可能跟随外围股市低走,而A股能否维持昨日强势将是关键。相信今日(20日)市场焦点将会投放在美团(03690.HK)身上,公司以先旧後新方式配股集资,《路透》报道,每股配售价以273.8元定价,接近配售价范围上限,以昨日收市价289.2元计算折让约半成。另外,公司亦会发行总值30亿美元可换股债券,预计合共集资近100亿美元,消息指集资所得,将会投入科技创新,用作无人配送等科技研发。由於市场早已预料美团会作出上述动作,料股价於短期後市影响不大,但毕竟发新股及可换股债亦将会摊薄效应,留意大行对此评价,而估计300元关口将会成为短期後市首个阻力位。

恒指昨日成功重越29,000点关口,而日中一度突破50天线,短期後市较关键的是成交金额能否持续改善,及指数能否於短期後市正式突破50天线。只要恒指於短期後市继续企稳10天线之上,形态该有利指数於4月份续创月内新高,而目标可先上望3月18日高位29,596点。

(笔者为证监会持牌人)~

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