植耀辉: 恒指走势还看A股 吉利(00175.HK)19元支持力强
耀才证券研究部总监植耀辉称，恒指上周继续於窄幅上落，全周计累升270点，收报28,969点。值得一提的是，恒指上周五(16日)一度升至29,079点，主要是受A股回升支持，惟中港股市成交金额未见显着上升，反映投资者入市意慾仍不高，所以大市能否打破近期闷局仍有望观察。另外，恒指自上月底起便於50天线(29,196点)及100天线(28,292点)区间徘徊，而两条平均线之间距开始有所收窄，且看未来一周会否出现突破。不过，除非上综指能升破笔者一直强调之3,450点水平，否则恒指表现仍难有太大憧憬。
股份方面，则可以跟大家谈谈吉利(00175.HK)，上周五其股价一度急升超过一成，全日计亦升7%，主要是集团宣布与母企合营之电动车品牌「极氪」将於9月开始交付，目标为第四季有望出售8,000架，明年则达到5万架。吉利进军新能源实非新鲜事，但投资市场对车企有新车推出的消息有正面反应亦正常，不过笔者亦继续关注行业竞争因素，所以对今次事件之看法较有保留。只是纯以股价部署而言，吉利股价250天线亦即19元附近有强大支持，尤其是去年7月升破此水平後亦未再失守过，所以可视之为後市其中一个重要指标，如守稳此水平，持货之投资者可暂考虑继续持有。
(笔者为证监会持牌人，未持有上述股份)
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加密货币震荡 留意美企业绩
耀才研究部称，上周美股三大指数上升，多间企业业绩优於预期，道指及标普再创新高。另一方面，加密货币市场则震荡，市传美国财政部可能会打击通过数字资产进行的洗钱活动，土耳其亦将会禁止使用虚拟货币直接或间接购买商品或服务，比特币於创历史新高的一个交易日後下挫15%，十大加密货币中只有马斯克曾推荐的狗狗币(Dogecoin)逆市上升，留意在港概念股亦会受到拖累。
展望本周市场继续留意蓝筹业绩，包括可乐(KO.US)、强生(JNJ.US)、联合航空(UAL.US)、宝洁(PG.US)、雅培药厂(ABT.US)及美国运通(AXP.US)等，数据指已经公布与准备公布上季业绩的标指成份股，其利润平均增幅为30.2%，是2010年第三季以来最佳，令市场有所憧憬。消息指因监管机构向蚂蚁集团释出信号，或要求创办人马云退股，以及放弃蚂蚁集团控制权，留意阿里(09988.HK)股价影响。
从技术上看，恒指於10天及20天线争持，大市成交缩减至只得约1,300亿元，短线较关键的阻力位则在50天线29,200点水平，一日恒指仍处於28,200点至29,200点水平左近，後市仍欠缺明确方向。
(笔者为证监会持牌人)~
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