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植耀辉: 季绩期展期美股个别发展 港股29,000点见阻力
阿思达克 04-15 11:10
耀才证券研究部总监植耀辉称,隔晚(14日)美股三大指数个别发展,银行股包括高盛(GS.US)及摩通(JPM.US)等季绩表现优於预期,标普500指数亦受到支持而一度再创新高,不过科技股走势偏软,拖累整体市况表现。最终纳指下跌138点或近1%,收报13,857点,标普500指数则下跌16点或0.41%,收报4,124点,道指则收报33,730点,上升53点或0.16%,

港股昨日有理想表现,全日计上升403点,升至28,900点水平,大市升势亦算全面,成份股中仅得4只股份下跌,跌幅最多亦不足0.5%。不过美中不足的是,成交金额不多,全日计只得1,381亿元,反映投资者入市意慾不高。至於新经济股表现相当「省镜」,网易(09999.HK)大升5.7%,新闻多多之美团(03690.HK)则升3.6%,阿里(09988.HK)及腾讯(00700.HK)则分别上升2%及2.6%。

虽然大市表现稍为转强,但後市表现仍须进一步观察,当中一大变数仍是A股表现,当然昨日亦见反弹,惟上综指一日未能重上3,450点水平,走势亦难以乐观,同时近期成交量亦不大,昨日亦只得6,500亿元而已。加上港股29,000点水平阻力不轻,预期现水平再升机会不大,未入市之投资者亦宜先行观望。

(笔者为证监会持牌人,持有腾讯及网易股份)

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大市成交再度缩减 後市欠明确方向

耀才研究部称,隔晚(14日)美股反覆,大型银行业绩强劲,交易收入上升帮助摩根大通(JPM.US)和高盛(GS.US)上季业绩超预期,高盛升2.3%为升幅最大道指成份股,道指与标指齐破顶,分别全日高见33,911点及4,151点。但科技股先高後低,美国最大加密货币交易平台Coinbase(COIN.US)在纳斯特首日挂牌,盘中升幅最多达71.8%,比特币曾见64,829美元高位,不过後来比特币短线下挫,拖累市场气氛,科技股整体先高後低,纳指收跌近1%,标普最後亦收跌0.4%。

联储局主席鲍威尔重申会等到通胀持续达2%目标和劳工市场完全复苏,才会考虑加息,但预料这两个指标在明年底前都不大可能达到,加上大部分成员都不预期2024年前会上调基准利率,将有利後市表现。而目前较关键的是A股表现,上证综合指数於3,400点关口争持,整个反覆偏软格局仍未有改善,唯幸中港两地昨日成交偏低,未有太大指标性,A股於短期後市能否扭转下跌趋势将成关键。

从技术上看,恒指於10天及20天线争持,大市成交缩减至只得约1,400亿元,短线较关键的阻力位则在50天线29,200点水平,一日恒指仍处於28,200点至29,200点水平左近,後市仍欠缺明确方向。

(笔者为证监会持牌人)~

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