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太平洋航運(02343.HK):一季度小靈便型及超靈便型乾散貨船的貨運市場租金顯著上升
格隆匯 04-13 17:19

格隆匯 4 月 13日丨太平洋航運(02343.HK)發佈2021年第一季度交易活動公吿,承接去年下半年的強勁復甦走勢,乾散貨運市場於2021年的開首勢頭極為強勁。自2020年5月以來,在全球經濟復甦、商品需求改善以及全球船隊增長回落等因素的推動下,加上貨船效率不足,小靈便型及超靈便型乾散貨船的貨運市場租金顯著上升,於2021年3月升至10年來的高位。

公司的核心業務於第一季度錄得的小靈便型及超靈便型乾散貨船按期租合約對等基準的日均收入("TCE")分別為10,950美元(淨值)及14,630美元(淨值),較2020年的平均按期租合約對等基準的收入大幅上升,是接近十年以來最強勁的季度表現。

小靈便型乾散貨船(BHSI38,000載重噸(經調整))及超靈便型乾散貨船(BSI58,000載重噸)於2021年第一季度的現貨市場日均租金分別為14,010美元(淨值)及15,800美元(淨值),較去年同期回升超過150%。過往聖誕假期至農曆新年期間的市況一般較為淡靜,今年情況則截然不同,小靈便型和超靈便型乾散貨船的貨運市場租金於季度內大幅上漲,升至10年來的高位,顯示市場供求日趨緊張。雖然近期高企的現貨市場租金已稍為回軟,但我們預期其將企穩在高於近年的水平。

第一季度的現貨市場租金急升,顯示市場供求關係日趨緊張。小靈便型及超靈便型乾散貨船業務的情況尤其如此,兩者的現貨市場租金均優於好望角型乾散貨船。雖然供求極為緊張的情況已開始緩和,但公司預期租金將企穩在高於近年的水平。儘管新型冠狀病毒疫情以及地緣政治局勢和一些供應方面的不確定性仍然存在,但經濟活動在疫苗計劃和刺激措施的支持下將會加強,加上乾散貨船船隊增長緩減,公司對2021年及未來數年的貨運市場持樂觀看法。

Clarksons目前估計小宗散貨噸位航距需求於2021年的增長為4.8%及2022年為3.7%,小靈便型及超靈便型乾散貨船合併運力估計淨增長於2021年僅為1.8%及2022年為1.0%。上述情況極有可能造就未來數年持續有利的供需平衡,公司當能從中受惠。

公司已獲交付於11月及2月簽訂購入的五艘現代化二手超大靈便型乾散貨船的其中兩艘。其餘三艘預期於第二季度連同公司於2月底同意購買的一艘現代化小靈便型乾散貨船加入公司的自有船隊。公司完成目前已訂約的貨船買賣後,自有船隊將為117艘貨船。連同租賃貨船,公司在2021年第一季度營運平均259艘小靈便型和超靈便型乾散貨船。

公司以客户為中心的業務模式、高裝載率、實力雄厚的團隊、龐大的自有船隊、穩健的資產負債表以及具有競爭力的成本結構,支持我們把握2021年和未來市況更利好的機遇。

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