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一文綜合大行於比亞迪(01211.HK)公布業績後最新評級、目標價及觀點
阿思達克 03-30 10:44
比亞迪(01211.HK)今早股價造淡,盤中低見158元一度下滑7.7%,最新報165.6元跌3.2%,券商指比亞迪首季業績指引疲弱,估計今年首季純利介乎2億至3億元人民幣,較去年第四季8.21億元人民幣明顯回落,瑞銀更指將將觸發市場同業下調對比亞迪全年盈利預測,懷疑今次或許是市場預期下調的轉捩點。

該公司昨日(29日)收市後公布去年業績,純利按年升1.62倍至42.34億元人民幣;每股盈利1.47元人民幣,派每股末期息0.148元人民幣。比亞迪去年實現收入按年升26%至1,534.69億元人民幣,其中汽車、汽車相關產品及其他產品業務的收入按年升38%至819.58億元人民幣;手機部件、組裝及其他產品業務的收入按年升13%至593.54億元人民幣;二次充電電池及光伏業務的收入按年升20%至117.05億元人民幣。

比亞迪預期截至今3月底止首季度盈利錄按年增加78%至166%,至2億至3億元人民幣,每股基本盈利為0.06至0.09元人民幣。

【首季指引遜色 瑞信下調預測】

大和指出,比亞迪今年首季盈利指標為2億至3億元人民幣,較去年第四季的8.21億元人民幣大幅減少,認為業績指引疲弱,可能與原材料價格上升損害毛利率有關。該行給予比亞迪「買入」評級,目標價290元。

瑞銀則指,比亞迪去年第四季毛利率降至16.6%,較2019年第四季的17%還要差。該行更指,今年首季業績指引疲弱,將觸發市場下調對其全年盈利預測,且由於大眾電動車市場競爭加劇,懷疑今次只是市場預期下調的轉捩點。該行維持對比亞迪「沽售」評級,目標價144元。

瑞信指出,比亞迪今年首季盈利預測僅為市場預期全年盈利的3%至5%,該行因而下調對比亞迪今明兩年盈利預測7.5%至7.8%,目標價由310元降至280元,維持「跑贏大市」評級。而野村則持不同意見,認為比亞迪今年股價有多項催化劑,包括新車款推出推動銷售,刀片電池可能獲同業青睞及分析半導體業務推動估值重估。該行維持對比亞迪「買入」評級與目標價300元不變。

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本網最新綜合5間券商對其投資評級及目標價:

券商│投資評級│目標價(港元)

花旗│買入│349元

野村│買入│300元

大和│買入│290元

瑞信│跑贏大市│310元->280元

瑞銀│沽售│144元

券商│觀點

花旗│去年第四季純利符預期,今年首季業績指引合理

野村│今年料有多股價催化劑

大和│去年第四季業績符預期,今年首季指引疲弱,或因原料成本上升

瑞信│今年首季業績疲弱,受成本上漲及補貼削減拖累

瑞銀│今年首季盈利按季下跌

(fc/w)

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