《業績前瞻》券商料中銀香港(02388.HK)去年盈利按年逾14% 估派息減14%至24%
中銀香港(02388.HK)將於下周二(30日)公布去年業績，料受新冠疫情大流行拖累，令撥備支出趨升及營運受挑戰，本網綜合6間券商預測中銀香港2020年公司股東應佔溢利介乎257.71億元至282.33億元，較2019年同期321.84億元，按年下跌12.3%至19.9%，中位數274.83億元，按年跌14.6%。
綜合3間券商料中銀香港2020年每股全年股息預測介乎1.16元至1.32元，較2019年每股全年股息1.537元，按年下跌14.3%至24.5%。
【受疫情拖累 盈利派息降】
瑞銀於本月初發表報告，料中銀香港去年盈利278.42億元按年下滑13.5%，收入按年跌5.1%，料去年淨利息收入按年跌17%至336.34億元、料淨息差收窄至1.24厘，料去年股本回報率降至9.8%，不良貸款比率升至0.31%，料去年每股盈利預測2.63元、料去年每股全年派息1.32元。
花旗本月初發表報告，中銀香港去年盈利282.33億元，按年跌12.3%，料較同業表現堅固，主要是受貸款增長仍然強勁所推動，旗下資產質素穩固，指市場同業估計中銀2020年每股全年派息1.15元，派息比率為44%(對比2019年為51%)。該行料中銀香港去年第四季淨息差按季收窄至1.16%。
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本網綜合6間券商預測中銀香港2020年公司股東應佔溢利介乎257.71億元至282.33億元，較2019年同期321.84億元，按年下跌12.3%至19.9%，中位數274.83億元，按年跌14.6%。
券商│2020年盈利預測(港元)│按年變幅
花旗│282.33億元│-12.3%
海通國際│280.01億元│-13%
瑞銀│278.42億元│-13.5%
法巴│271.23億元│-15.7%
匯豐環球研究│269.95億人元│-16.1%
美銀證券│257.71億元│-19.9%
按中銀香港2019年公司股東應佔溢利321.84億元推算
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綜合3間券商料中銀香港2020年每股全年股息預測介乎1.16元至1.32元，較2019年每股全年股息1.537元，按年下跌14.3%至24.5%。
券商│2020年每股全年股息預測(港元)│按年變幅
瑞銀│1.32元│-14.1%
匯豐環球研究│1.28元│-16.7%
美銀證券│1.16元│-24.5%
按中銀香港2019年每股全年派息1.537元
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