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植耀輝: 舊經濟股造好美股回穩 瑞聲(02018.HK)若反彈可減磅
阿思達克 03-26 11:21
耀才證券研究部總監植耀輝稱,美股三大指數隔晚(25日)走勢回穩,不過科技股表現仍較失色,舊經濟股則見反彈,最終道指上升199點或0.62%,收報32,619點,標普500指數亦升20點或0.52%,收報3,909點,納指則升0.12%,收報12,977點。

至於港股方面,昨日跟隨外圍低開,恆指一度跌至27,505點,其後在A股見反彈下走勢有所改善,最終收市僅下跌18點,收報27,899點。

中概股特別是第二上市之股份成跌市重災區,百度(09888.HK)大跌9.7%,網易(09999.HK)及萬國數據(09698.HK)亦分別下跌2.3%及4.1%。不過港交所(00388.HK)則有望受惠中概股回歸上市憧憬,股價跌至421元後大幅反彈,最終收報449.6元,上升3.2%。筆者亦傾向認為港交所未來將可受惠相關情況,故持貨者可考慮繼續作中長線持有。

至於業績股方面,騰訊(00700.HK)去年業績符預期,但股價仍大跌2.8%,收報606元;小米(01810.HK)股價亦見疲弱,下跌4.4%,收報23.9元。反而瑞聲(02018.HK)業績表現有驚喜,股價午後靠穩,最終收報39.65元,下跌1.1%。雖然瑞聲跌勢有所喘定,不過行業競爭依然激烈,加上業務發展仍存在不確定性,如股價有力回升至44至45元附近,筆者認為可考慮先行減磅再作觀望。

而大市前景仍未許樂觀,不過本輪大市累積跌幅已不少,故如A股短期走勢有所改善,大市有望出現反彈,但幅度亦未必太多,暫看反彈目標約28,500點水平。持貨較多之投資者,亦可考慮候反彈先行減磅。

(筆者為證監會持牌人,持有港交所、網易及騰訊股份)

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科技股沽壓短線仍未改善

耀才研究部稱,隔晚(25日)美股先跌後回升,美國上周首次申請失業救濟金人數創一年新低,加上聯儲局主席鮑威爾表現將會持續推出支援市場的刺激措施,道指曾跌348點,但在舊經濟股造好帶動下,收市倒升近200點。港股ADR個別發展,多隻中概股於美股繼續捱沽,除牌陰影短線仍未能消除,「黑期」今早(26日)輕微上升50點至27,900點水平,料恆指將會繼續於28,000點水平爭持。A股於短期後市之表現繼續是關鍵因素,上證綜合指數近來反彈乏力,目前較關鍵的支持位已退至3月9日低位3,328點,若此支持位進一步失守,將進一步利淡中港兩地股市表現。

恆指昨日低見27,505點後反彈,但指數至今仍未能重越「頭肩頂」頸線位即28,200點之上,走勢仍屬利淡,短線策略仍以「減持」為主,重貨投資者切記做好風險管理。因以量度跌幅計,恆指右肩幅度大約1,600點,恆指如未能盡快重越10天線之上,反彈過後恆指可能將下試26,700點水平(28,300點-1,600點)。

(筆者為證監會持牌人)~

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