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植耀辉: 旧经济股造好美股回稳 瑞声(02018.HK)若反弹可减磅
阿思达克 03-26 11:21
耀才证券研究部总监植耀辉称,美股三大指数隔晚(25日)走势回稳,不过科技股表现仍较失色,旧经济股则见反弹,最终道指上升199点或0.62%,收报32,619点,标普500指数亦升20点或0.52%,收报3,909点,纳指则升0.12%,收报12,977点。

至於港股方面,昨日跟随外围低开,恒指一度跌至27,505点,其後在A股见反弹下走势有所改善,最终收市仅下跌18点,收报27,899点。

中概股特别是第二上市之股份成跌市重灾区,百度(09888.HK)大跌9.7%,网易(09999.HK)及万国数据(09698.HK)亦分别下跌2.3%及4.1%。不过港交所(00388.HK)则有望受惠中概股回归上市憧憬,股价跌至421元後大幅反弹,最终收报449.6元,上升3.2%。笔者亦倾向认为港交所未来将可受惠相关情况,故持货者可考虑继续作中长线持有。

至於业绩股方面,腾讯(00700.HK)去年业绩符预期,但股价仍大跌2.8%,收报606元;小米(01810.HK)股价亦见疲弱,下跌4.4%,收报23.9元。反而瑞声(02018.HK)业绩表现有惊喜,股价午後靠稳,最终收报39.65元,下跌1.1%。虽然瑞声跌势有所喘定,不过行业竞争依然激烈,加上业务发展仍存在不确定性,如股价有力回升至44至45元附近,笔者认为可考虑先行减磅再作观望。

而大市前景仍未许乐观,不过本轮大市累积跌幅已不少,故如A股短期走势有所改善,大市有望出现反弹,但幅度亦未必太多,暂看反弹目标约28,500点水平。持货较多之投资者,亦可考虑候反弹先行减磅。

(笔者为证监会持牌人,持有港交所、网易及腾讯股份)

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科技股沽压短线仍未改善

耀才研究部称,隔晚(25日)美股先跌後回升,美国上周首次申请失业救济金人数创一年新低,加上联储局主席鲍威尔表现将会持续推出支援市场的刺激措施,道指曾跌348点,但在旧经济股造好带动下,收市倒升近200点。港股ADR个别发展,多只中概股於美股继续捱沽,除牌阴影短线仍未能消除,「黑期」今早(26日)轻微上升50点至27,900点水平,料恒指将会继续於28,000点水平争持。A股於短期後市之表现继续是关键因素,上证综合指数近来反弹乏力,目前较关键的支持位已退至3月9日低位3,328点,若此支持位进一步失守,将进一步利淡中港两地股市表现。

恒指昨日低见27,505点後反弹,但指数至今仍未能重越「头肩顶」颈线位即28,200点之上,走势仍属利淡,短线策略仍以「减持」为主,重货投资者切记做好风险管理。因以量度跌幅计,恒指右肩幅度大约1,600点,恒指如未能尽快重越10天线之上,反弹过後恒指可能将下试26,700点水平(28,300点-1,600点)。

(笔者为证监会持牌人)~

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