郭思治: 大市已跌近28,326点及28,259点
香港股票分析师协会副主席郭思治称,大市昨(23日)先升後急回,恒指早市先高开123点至29,008点,其後再稍升至29,043点,惟由於买盘不继,加上沽压又阵阵而来,故整个大市卒逐步回软,且跌势更越来越急,至午後更一度急跌509点至28,376点,由於跌势偏促,故低位略见後抽,恒指最後报收28,497点,较上日跌387点,全日总成交金额为1,665亿元,从走势上看,由於恒指已跌离50更线(29,329点),20天线(29128点)及10天线(28,971点),故技术上已属反覆欲试低位之形态,而所指的低位,暂该为本月9日之低位28,326点及1月29日之低位28,259点。
昨天大市之低位为28,376点,相距本月9日之低位28,326点计仅差50点,即试低位之形态已很明显,但严格而言,一旦恒指仍未正式跌穿28,326点之前,技术上仍算续创月内新低,而直到执笔一刻止计,本月大市暂仍是由3日之高位29,912点跌至9日之低位28,326点,笔者一直指出,一个月之高低位是不该同时出现於五个交易日之内,照目前之市况看,大市确有机会在本月底前创月内新低,但需指出,情况只属月内波幅之需要而已。
(笔者为证监会持牌人)~
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