内地碳中和研究报告:料2060年中国煤电装机将全部退出
由全球能源互联网发展合作组织举办的中国碳达峰碳中和成果发布暨研讨会昨日(18日)在京举行。会议发布《中国2030年前碳达峰研究报告》、《中国2060年前碳中和研究报告》、《中国2030年能源电力发展规划研究及2060年展望》,在国内首次提出通过建设中国能源互联网实现碳减排目标的系统方案。
其中,《中国2060年前碳中和研究报告》提出,构建中国能源互联网,全社会碳减排边际成本每吨约260元人民币(下同),远低於每吨700元左右的全球其他减排方案。通过构建中国能源互联网促进碳达峰碳中和总体分三个阶段:2030年前尽早达峰、2030-2050年加速脱碳、2050-2060年全面中和。其中,2028年有望实现达峰,力争2055年左右全社会碳排放净零,实现2060年前碳中和目标。
该研究报告并提出,2023年後,中国煤炭消费总量将稳定在28亿吨左右;煤电总量控制在2025年达峰,峰值为11亿千瓦,到2030年下降至10.5亿千瓦,到2050年下降至3亿千瓦左右,2060年煤电装机全部退出。
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