郭思治: 大市後抽 似欲伺機重越50天線
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,經過連跌多天後,大市終見反彈。昨天(9日)恆指早市先高開125點至28,665點,其後曾略作反覆而一度倒跌214點至28,326點,即大市此刻已再創月內新低。惟正當大市正欲下試1月29日低位28,259點之際,維穩買盤開始入市低吸。騰訊(00700.HK)、友邦(01299.HK)、匯控(00005.HK)、建行(00939.HK)、港交所(00388.HK)及美團(03690.HK)等均由買盤力捧,故整個大市卒掉頭回升,其後更一度急升507點至29,047點。只是高台買意再見保守,故大市升勢逐步收窄,至午後更一度倒跌。但維穩買盤再現,大市亦止跌回升,恆指最後報收28,773點,較上日升232點,全日總成交金額為2,759億元。
從技術上看,本月大市之波幅已稍擴闊至1,586點,恆指暫是由3日之高位29,912點跌至9日之低位28,326點。惟一個月之高低位是不該同時出現於五個交易日之內,故在本月餘下之交易日,理論上該有更大波幅點出現。再從走勢上看,目前大市首個上升阻力位50天線(28,973點),再往上的阻力是10天線(29,285點)及20天線(29,794點),至於往下的技術防線為1月29日之低位28,259點。
(筆者為證監會持牌人)~
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