郭思治: 大市後抽 似欲伺机重越50天线
香港股票分析师协会副主席郭思治称,经过连跌多天後,大市终见反弹。昨天(9日)恒指早市先高开125点至28,665点,其後曾略作反覆而一度倒跌214点至28,326点,即大市此刻已再创月内新低。惟正当大市正欲下试1月29日低位28,259点之际,维稳买盘开始入市低吸。腾讯(00700.HK)、友邦(01299.HK)、汇控(00005.HK)、建行(00939.HK)、港交所(00388.HK)及美团(03690.HK)等均由买盘力捧,故整个大市卒掉头回升,其後更一度急升507点至29,047点。只是高台买意再见保守,故大市升势逐步收窄,至午後更一度倒跌。但维稳买盘再现,大市亦止跌回升,恒指最後报收28,773点,较上日升232点,全日总成交金额为2,759亿元。
从技术上看,本月大市之波幅已稍扩阔至1,586点,恒指暂是由3日之高位29,912点跌至9日之低位28,326点。惟一个月之高低位是不该同时出现於五个交易日之内,故在本月余下之交易日,理论上该有更大波幅点出现。再从走势上看,目前大市首个上升阻力位50天线(28,973点),再往上的阻力是10天线(29,285点)及20天线(29,794点),至於往下的技术防线为1月29日之低位28,259点。
(笔者为证监会持牌人)~
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