《即日市评》恒指倒跌 守两万九关 汇控友邦受压
受友邦(01299.HK)及汇控(00005.HK)跌势拖累下，港股今日回吐。美国国债价格回稳，全球央行行长试图阻止债券孳息上升，美国十年期债券孳息率跌1.5点子报1.444厘，美股道指及纳指昨晚各涨2%及3%，执笔之时美汇指数升至91.3，美股道指期货最新跌189点或0.6%，纳指期货最新跌0.7%。上证综指全日跌1.2%收3,508、深证成指下滑0.7%，沪深两市成交额9,175亿人民币。
财政司司长陈茂波指目前未有计划再增加股票印花税，恒指高开255点，早段曾升313点一度高见29,765点，其後回落并曾倒跌495点一度低见28,957点，全日跌356点或1.2%，收29,095点；国指跌92点或0.8%，收11,361点；恒生科技指数跌40点或0.4%，收9,257点。大市全日成交总额2,327.25亿元，沪、深港通南下交易录得净流入金额分别为3.02亿及3.07亿元人民币。
【恒指呈倒跌 汇控友邦软】
汇控股价下滑2.3%收45.05元，友邦全日股价跌3.1%收96.8元。瑞信上周发表报告，出友邦保险将於下月12日开市前公布2020年度业绩，估计期内新业务价值录28亿美元，按年跌32%，第四季则录6.89亿美元，按实际汇率计按年跌23%；内含价值录651亿美元按半年增长9%。
内地业务方面，瑞信预期友邦去年第四季的新业务价值疲弱，这是因为公司的首要任务是今年「开门红」的销售准备工作，而不是追求去年的目标；利润率受压；以及疫情的持续影响。然而新业务销售今年来表现强劲，首季的新业务价值增长料录双位数增长。
【市宽呈转弱 兖煤逆市扬】
港股今日市宽转弱，主板股票的升跌比率16比30(上日为32比14)，下跌股份1,223只(跌幅2.9%)，恒指成份股今日9只股份上升，下跌股份43只，升跌比率为17比83(上日为48比52)；大市今日录沽空302.19亿元，占可沽空股份成1,953.35亿元的15.47%(上日14.232%)。
中资石油股向下，中石油(00857.HK)跌3.2%，中海油(00883.HK)走低3.4%报8.84元。但部份煤有支持，兖煤(01171.HK)逆市升5.9%收8.2元。
瑞银发表报告指，兖煤澳大利亚(03668.HK)早前公布2020年业绩，期内录得亏损蚀10.4亿澳元，以兖煤持股兖煤澳洲约62%权益计，兖煤期内入帐的亏损约32.3亿元人民币。该行指出，业绩表现负面或令市场失望，但去年度业绩较差主要是由於期内将沃特岗矿业整合至兖煤澳洲的一次性损失所致，预期兖煤2021年业务表现仍然稳健，并相信兖煤澳洲今年将可重新贡献盈利。
瑞银指，考虑到兖煤今年盈利状况，股息率预期最低为8.3%，认为估值不贵且股息回报吸引，维持「买入」评级，目标价9.7元。(wl/a)
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