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罗兵咸料今年香港零售销售额按年增长15%至3,760亿元
阿思达克 02-09 12:14
罗兵咸永道消费市场行业亚太区、中国内地及香港主管合夥人郑焕然在网上会议上表示,预期今年香港零售销售额按年增长15%至3,760亿元,虽然宏观经济仍有不确定性,例如环球经济前景、失业情况及疫苗推出时间等因素,都持续对短期消费带来压力。

但在正面角度看,该行预期第三及第四季旅游及出行限制将会取消,而消费者的情绪将在届时回复正常,以及财富效应推动消费增加。他又指,消费市场的结构性转变将会为数码化零售商带来新的增长机会。

另外,他估计1月份香港零售总额将达到325亿元,按年下降14%。2月份则受惠农历新年因素,零售总额将比去年同期增长36%至310亿元。值得留意的是,去年2月份正值新冠肺炎在港爆发之际,加上农历新年刚好在1月,影响2月的节日性消费导致基数较低。

政府下月将公布财政预算案,他建议政府考虑向市民派发消费券,因为单单派钱的话,市民或会用来作其他用途,例如投资。而派发消费券则能确保本港零售市场受惠。

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