高盛上调美国今明两年经济增长预测 料美联储明年初开始缩量宽
高盛上调对美国今年第二季的经济增长预测,由10%上调至11%。该行亦上调今明两年美国经济增长预测各0.2个百分点,至分别6.8%及4.5%。
高盛指出,他们上调美国新刺激经济计划规模的预期,由1.1万亿美元调至至1.5万亿美元。该行亦调整美联储加息日期预测,由2024年下半年提前至2024年上半年,反映上调经济增长预测、失业率跌幅超预期及通胀展望更稳固。
该行亦预期,美联储将於明年初开展俗称「关水喉」的缩减量宽政策。
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