美股异动 | 理想汽车盘中涨幅扩大至5%。
杰富瑞首次覆盖中国造车新势力,在三大热门电动汽车股中,该行分析师Alexious Lee建议买入理想汽车(LI.US)的股票,对蔚来(NIO.US)和小鹏汽车(XPEV.US)则比较谨慎,评级均为持有。
理想汽车最近的涨幅落后于小鹏汽车和蔚来,后两家公司在近期的大型消费者活动和自动驾驶汽车发布上的表现更为引人注目。过去三个月,蔚来和小鹏汽车的股价分别累计上涨了110%和161%。而理想的股价则上涨了61%。
Lee认为这是一个机会。他对理想汽车的目标价是44.5美元。该分析师表示,理想ONE SUV并不是传统意义上的混合动力车。其增程式动力是在纯电动车的动力基础上加入一台辅助发电机组,它并不是直接给电池组发电,而是通过带动原有的发电机来实现供能以延长车辆的续航驾驶里程。并称理想汽车对动力系统的选择是成功的,这将帮助其比蔚来和小鹏更快实现盈利。根据市场对公司收益的普遍预期,小鹏和蔚来预计2021年将出现亏损,而理想汽车有望实现盈亏平衡。
Lee还认为,蔚来拥有一个领先的豪华电动汽车品牌,但他对蔚来60美元的目标价接近其近期股价。该分析师对小鹏的自动驾驶技术印象深刻,并予目标价54.4美元。
总体而言,华尔街机构一直看好中国的电动汽车股。有75%的分析师予理想汽车“买入”评级,约57%和67%的分析师将蔚来和小鹏汽车的评级分别定为买入,而道琼斯工业股票买入评级的平均比率约为57%。
蔚来汽车的股价约为2021年预计销售额的18倍。小鹏则为17倍。而理想是三家公司中最便宜的,其股价约为2021年预计销售额的8.4倍。而全球市值最高的汽车公司特斯拉(TSLA.US)的交易价格是2021年预计销量的17倍。
但考虑到目前估值水平,也不乏有机构对这三家中国造车新势力持谨慎态度。随着特斯拉(TSLA.US)和其他公司在未来几个月将推出更多纯电动汽车,中国电动汽车市场将面临更多竞争。而且最近做空电动汽车股票是一门赔本生意,全球市值最高的汽车公司特斯拉的股价同期上涨了约39%。
过去一年,蔚来和特斯拉的股价分别累计上涨了约1150%和730%。小鹏和理想汽车都在去年夏天上市。这两家公司的交易历史还不到一年,但这两家公司的股票自IPO以来一直表现强劲。理想汽车上市首日股价为11.50美元。小鹏汽车的IPO发行价为每股15美元。
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