股價提前異動,誰在精準伏擊業績預增股?
作者:李少鵬
來源: 上海證券報
業績“預喜”,股價提前漲停。記者注意到,眼下已進入年報業績預吿披露密集期,部分業績預增公司股價提前放量大漲,這種情況讓投資者不禁疑惑:“聰明錢”是純屬巧合還是精準伏擊?
以芯片龍頭韋爾股份為例,公司1月18日晚披露2020年業績預吿,預計2020年淨利潤為19.84億元至24.84億元,同比增長426.17%到533.55%。對於業績增長原因,公司稱主要系在市場需求驅動以及不斷推出新產品的情況下,盈利能力獲得較高的增長。
有意思的是,在業績預吿尚未披露前,公司股價在18日盤中提前放量上漲,並以漲停報收,全天成交金額達到50.99億元。

與韋爾股份情況類似的還有我樂家居。
1月14日晚,我樂家居披露2020年業績預吿,受疫情催生傢俱業消費升級影響,公司預計2020年將實現淨利潤約2.16億元至2.31億元,比上年同期增加6160.29萬元至7700.37萬元,同比增長40%至50%。
同樣,在業績預增披露前,公司股價也提前反應。覆盤來看,我樂家居14日開盤後走勢平穩,午盤後開始逐步拉昇並封於漲停。
再來看與我樂家居同處傢俱行業的江山歐派。公司股票1月12日低開後一路走高,臨近收盤成功漲停。當晚,公司發佈業績預增公吿,預計2020年實現淨利潤4.44億元到4.7億元,比上年同期增加1.83億元到2.09億元,同比增長70%到80%。

此外,1月來業績“預喜”公佈前股價出現異動的還有長鴻高科、天壇生物、宏達電子等。
那麼,到底是誰在精準伏擊業績預增股呢?記者通過部分公司龍虎榜單窺得一二。
首先來看我樂家居,在披露業績預增前收穫漲停後,公司股票隨後在1月15日和1月18日兩個交易日連續漲停。15日盤後披露的龍虎榜顯示,1月13日至1月15日三個交易日內,除了買一席位為機構專用外,買入金額最大的剩餘4席均為遊資,而賣出金額最大的前5名席位全部為遊資。

再來江山歐派,1月14日龍虎榜數據顯示,作為實力遊資代表的中信證券寧波甬江大道營業部和光大證券上海世紀大道營業部現身買三和買五位置,二者在三個交易日內分別累計買入1235萬元和1085萬元。同時,光大證券上海世紀大道營業部在1月12至14日合計賣出1069萬元。

“對於遊資而言,利好公佈前買入,利好公佈後拉高出貨,屬於常規操作。”有市場人士直言。
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