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郭思治: 慎防大市会渐呈高台整固及消化
阿思达克 01-12 10:20
香港股票分析师协会副主席郭思治称,大市昨(11日)先升後反覆,惟最後仍微升收市,恒指早段先高开125点至28,003点,其後再进一步升至28,176点方渐受规限,由於高台沽压渐增,故市势卒开始反覆,而恒指更一度倒跌84点至27,794点,末段略见後抽,恒指最後报收27908点,较上日升30点,全日总成交金额为2,541亿元,经过昨天的升市,本月大市在先低後高之形态主导下,波幅已稍扩阔至1,097点,惟一个月之高低位是不该同时出现於六个交易日之内,故在本月余下之交易日,技术上该有更大之波幅在後头,即是说,只要先低後高之形态不变,大市或会候机再进一步上寻月内高位。

值得留意的是,近日热炒之股份均於高台渐见反覆,如吉利汽车(00175.HK),信义光能(00968.HK),小米集团(01810.HK),农夫山泉(09633.HK)及思摩尔(06969.HK)等,均自高位回吐约10%,表示一股炽烈之炒风或开始放缓,另亦需留意10天线(27,341点)之支持,因10天线目前正以每天约152点之速度上升中,故只要大市作较明显之反覆或回吐,技术上便会触及10天线,从走势上看,一旦恒指稍触及10天线,可能代表整个大市会稍作整固,毕竟自去年12月22日低位25,998点开始之上升,至昨天高位28,176点止计,在约三周内,累积升幅已达2,178点。

(笔者为证监会持牌人)~

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