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建行、农行及招行续升逾2%-5%後者屡破顶 获中金看好跑赢行业
阿思达克 01-11 13:47
上周尾获中金看H股79.85元的招行(03968.HK)在内银中表现最好,股价五连涨兼第二天创纪录高,最高见57.15元,现造56.15元,续涨5.1%,成交仍有1,701万股,涉资9.49亿元;招行A股也涨半成高见49.17元人民币。

获中金看H股10.17元的建行(00939.HK)四连升,今天股价重越牛熊线(5.99元),最高见6.09元,现造6.07元,续升逾2%,成交已有2.6亿股,涉资15.7亿元;建行A股也涨逾2%报6.49元人民币。

获中金看H股8.19元工行(01398.HK)、获中金看H股4.86元中行(03988.HK)、获中金看H股5.15元光大银行(06818.HK)及获中金看H股4.95元农行(01288.HK)续升逾1%-2%,後者最强,股价重越牛熊线(2.93元),最高见2.97元,现造2.96元,续升2.4%,成交7,525万股。

中金上周四估计内银H股指数今年累升逾六成,看好四大国有内银AH股、光大银行AH及受益於新一轮业绩估值分化的招行AH股跑赢同业。

报告指,2021年年初两个交易日A股及H股银行指数分别跌3.01%及1.61%,主要源自近期部分投资者对政策的误读导致的悲观情绪释放,但上周三A股及H银行指数分别升2.37%及1.3%,以上错误判断得到一定修正。向前看,该行再次重申全面看好内银股。因为内银目前处於业绩「V」型反转起点,处於风险溢价因素反转的起点,处於估值仓位反转的起点。该行认为宏观经济复苏趋势明确,信用条件向常态收敛,贷款定价随需求走高,宏观环境有利於银行营业收入和资产质量端持续好转。向前看,该行预计A股及H股银行指数於2021年上涨空间有望超过各50%及60%,看好内银H股多於A股,基於修复及增长逻辑。

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