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一隻手套,真能撐起800億元市值?
格隆匯 01-11 14:54

一場新冠疫情,催生了對醫用防護產品的巨量需求,作為醫療手套第一股的英科醫療業績與股價齊飛。今日,英科醫療股價再創歷史新高,市值近800億元。自1月以來,其股價累計漲幅高達33%,2020年至今漲幅超1700%。

疫情反覆或是英科醫療近期走勢強勁的主要原因。

英科醫療是國內最早從馬來西亞引進先進丁腈手套生產線的企業之一,其產品以PVC手套、丁腈手套等醫療防護類為主,廣泛應用於醫療護理及檢查、食品加工、精密電子等行業。2017—2019年,公司醫療防護類產品銷售額佔營業收入的比例均在85%左右,到了2020年這一比例上升至96%以上。

2020年一季度,英科醫療主要受內需提升拉動業績高增長,可以看到一季度收入同比增長56%,二三季度主要受海外需求強勁,第二、三季度單季收入同比增長650%、731%。近期海外疫情繼續發酵,加上國內河北疫情升級,市場對於英科醫療的醫療手套用品爆發性增長的預期再度提高。

(來源:Choice數據)

參考中國塑協和馬來西亞手套行業協會的統計數據,國盛證券預計2019年全球一次性健康防護手套銷量4800億隻左右,行業穩定增速8%左右;而2020年全球手套真實需求量已有翻倍增長。

近幾年來,英科醫療不斷擴大產能,目前成為國內手套產能最大的生產企業。2017年,公司通過上市募資在青州生產基地投建58.8億隻手套產能,2018年在安徽生產基地投建280億隻手套產能,2019年在越南建廠投建88億隻手套產能。截至2020年上半年,安徽項目中的10條丁腈手套生產線建成投產,英科醫療手套年化總產能已超過220億隻,其中PVC手套產能超140億隻,丁腈手套產能超80億隻,。

為了滿足一次性手套市場需求,英科醫療2020年進一步擴大產能,在江西投資30億元實施建設"年產271.68億隻高端醫用手套項目";在安徽懷寧投資40億元建設"年產400億隻高端醫用手套項目";在安徽濉溪投資了"年產280億隻(2800萬箱)高端醫用手套項目";12月30日,公司擬在夏邑縣投資了建設年產131億隻(1310萬箱)PVC高端醫用手套項目,項目總投資6.6億元。

目前,英科醫療產能利用率達到100%,客户訂單已排到了2021年二季度。

與此同時,海外市場面臨生產受阻、企業關停等困境,進一步拉動英科醫療出口增長。目前,馬來西亞一次性手套廠上工率及相關配套產業鏈受損,手套供給階段性承壓。國盛證券預計,英科醫療2020-2022年歸母淨利潤分別為70.6億元、140.2億元、76.1億元。

不過,值得注意的是,因疫情衝擊帶來的短期醫療產品銷售量價齊升,不是行業長期的經營形態。當疫情影響褪去之後,伴隨着產品需求量以及價格的下降,英科醫療高增長的業績將會回落,而因應對短期需求而大幅擴產的產能屆時如何消化,將是公司面臨的主要問題。

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