郭思治: 大市该已开始进入中期升浪之形态中
香港股票分析师协会副主席郭思治称,大市继周二(29日)上升253点後,昨日(30日)再进一步大幅上升,恒指昨先高开127点至26,695点,其後先略为拉锯而轻回至26,670点,惟在买盘渐见主动下,整个大市不但得以止跌回升,且升势有越来越勇之感,至午後恒指更一度大幅急升591点至27,159点,至末段则略见拉锯,恒指最後报收27,147点,较上日大幅上升578点,全日总成交金额为1,533亿元。
昨天是即月期指结算日,从形态上看,大市该属由头升到尾之格局,可以见到的是,一众坚持做空的淡仓,最後终需付上较沉重的结算代价,值得留意的是,经昨天之急升,由於恒指已成功升越7月之高位26,870点,故12月之大市现已扭转为先低後高之形态,恒指暂是由22日之低位25,998点升至30日之高位27159点,即月内之波幅已扩阔至1,161点,记得笔者一直坚持本月之波幅该不会只得872点(7日之26,870点至22日之25,998点)。
由於恒指已成功升越11月25日之高位27,040点,故自9月25日低位23,124点开始之中期反弹,技术上该已渐发展成中期升浪,而1月之上望目标该直指今年2月17日之高位28,055点。
(笔者为证监会持牌人)~
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