高盛料美经济明年增长5.3% 新冠疫情反弹影响将低於预期
高盛发表报告指,美国经济将较外界预期更快的速度复苏,主要因为很多服务行业未在最新的疫情反弹中受严重影响。高盛预期美国今年经济收缩3.5%,明年则增长5.3%。报告指出,仅对疫情最敏感行业状况於上月出现显着按月下滑,其余大部分服务业仍接近或处於疫後高峰。报告预期最新的新冠疫情将对整体经济造成细小影响。
报告预期未来数月服务业开支将持续下跌,美国东北部将面对更大阻力,因当地政府更愿意采取防疫措施。
高盛亦认为,政府及私营机构学习如何在疫情下运作,使最新疫情对经济活动的影响减弱。
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