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郭思治: 只要先低後高不变 大市该可续往上寻月内高位
阿思达克 12-04 09:58
香港股票分析师协会副主席郭思治称,昨天(3日)大市再进一步上创本月新高,恒指早市先高开91点至26,623点,其後曾一度反覆而低见26,556点,惟在腾讯(00700.HK)及汇控(00005.HK)做好的带动下逐步回升,至午後大市更一度上升249点至26,781点,即技术上创本月新高,相对本月低位暂为1日之26,375点计,即本月大市已初呈先低後高之形态,而月内之波幅则暂为406点,从走势上看,由於恒指已稍重越10天线(26,608点),故大市技术上已再呈欲试顶之形态,而所指的顶,首个该为11月25日之高位27,040点。

上文述及,本月恒指暂是由1日之低位26,375点升至3日之高位26,781点,论形态则已初呈先低而後高,需留意的是,一个月之高低位是不该同时出现於三个交易日之内,加上406点之波幅亦不能满足月内之所需,故只要恒指暂不会跌穿26,375点,在先低後高之形态主导下,更高之指数该仍在後头,当然,恒指必需续稳企於10天线(26,608点)之上。

传统而言,12月份该有若干粉饰厨窗活动,而照目前之市况看,相关活动即使不会太明显,但至少可令大市续整固或扣紧於高台。

(笔者为证监会持牌人)~

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