耀才团队: 恒指仍处於10天线水平拉锯
耀才证券研究部团队称,隔晚(2日)美股个别发展,三大指数变动不大,美国11月份APD受疫情爆发影响差过预期,但市场憧憬新一轮的纾困方案,令道指曾跌逾224点後最终倒升。港股ADR则个别发展,「黑期」预示恒指今早将窄幅上落,短期後市或继续拉锯於10天线左近。港股年底前仍缺乏方向,在疫苗来临的利好憧憬下,市底表现仍强,但短期疫情风险亦不容忽视,亦将会限制大市短期後市表现。资金於本周仍在轮动炒作,「弃新迎旧」之趋势未有改变,昨日汇控(00005.HK)为表现最佳蓝筹,而多只今年特别强势的股份如小米(01810.HK)、比亚迪(01211.HK)、龙湖集团(00960.HK)更於高位配股,配股潮之风险於短期後市仍要加倍小心。
从技术上看,恒指至今仍反覆穿梭於10天线水平,但目前仍稳守於20天线之上,市底强之表现仍得以维持。但如前文所述,毕竟恒指於11月份已累积较多升幅,短线高位调整之压力仍在,20天线一旦失守,指数於短期後市仍存在一定调整空间。此短期升浪以10月30日低开24,029点起,至11月25日高位27,040点计,累积升幅达3,011点,若调整黄金比率0.382,将会回试25,900点之支持。
(笔者为证监会持牌人)~
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