学者:中国碳排放争2030年前达峰值 需升光伏及风电比例
据内媒《资本邦》报道,就目前中国在下一阶段的目标是将二氧化碳排放量力争於2030年前达到峰值,努力争取2060年前实现碳中和。上海电力大学教授施正荣认为为了实现这个目标,关键在於能源结构转型。
施正荣认为,有良好的政策环境和巨额的投资,中国将不断提升新能源装机比例,特别是光伏和风电装机量。此外,未来氢能将成为中国能源体系的重要组成部分,有望成为未来10年的一个重大风口。
他提出,要实现这个目标,中国需要通过能源结构转型、模式升级、能效提升,以及碳捕获与储存技术等多种途径实现,其中最为关键的是能源结构转型,降低度电CO2排放。据悉,目前,中国单位度电的碳排放量是600克,在全球主要国家度电碳排放中算比较高的。
据波士顿谘询的测算,在面向碳中和目标行进的过程中,中国到2050年的化石能源消耗要降低目前水平约80%。为了应对气候变化和能源安全,中国要大幅减少对化石燃料的依赖,大力发展风能、光伏等新能源。
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