學者:中國碳排放爭2030年前達峰值 需升光伏及風電比例
據內媒《資本邦》報道,就目前中國在下一階段的目標是將二氧化碳排放量力爭於2030年前達到峰值,努力爭取2060年前實現碳中和。上海電力大學教授施正榮認為為了實現這個目標,關鍵在於能源結構轉型。
施正榮認為,有良好的政策環境和巨額的投資,中國將不斷提升新能源裝機比例,特別是光伏和風電裝機量。此外,未來氫能將成為中國能源體系的重要組成部分,有望成為未來10年的一個重大風口。
他提出,要實現這個目標,中國需要通過能源結構轉型、模式升級、能效提升,以及碳捕獲與儲存技術等多種途徑實現,其中最為關鍵的是能源結構轉型,降低度電CO2排放。據悉,目前,中國單位度電的碳排放量是600克,在全球主要國家度電碳排放中算比較高的。
據波士頓諮詢的測算,在面向碳中和目標行進的過程中,中國到2050年的化石能源消耗要降低目前水平約80%。為了應對氣候變化和能源安全,中國要大幅減少對化石燃料的依賴,大力發展風能、光伏等新能源。
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