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《即日市评》恒指「三连升」录逾八个月高 吉利受捧
阿思达克 11-18 17:07
恒指今日反覆向上。美国新冠疫情恶化引发更多经济关停,美股道指及纳指昨晚各跌0.6%及0.2%,但小型股指数罗素2000则创收市新高,市场亦关注中美关系走向,外电引述市场消息指美国年底前推新规,将不符审计标准中资股除牌;执笔之时美汇指数跌至92.27,美股道指期货最新跌26点或0.08%、美股纳指期货最新升14点或0.1%。人币中间价续上调169点报6.5593兑一美元逾两年高,市场关注内地企业债务问题,上证综指一度倒跌後,最终回升0.2%收3,347,深证成指跌0.5%,内地创业板指数跌1.4%,沪深两市成交额共8,218亿人民币。

恒指今日向上,高开19点後,曾倒跌70点一度低见26,344点,其後收复失地,全日升129点或0.5%,收26,544点,再录逾八个月收市高位,并连升三日(累涨387点或1.5%);国指升89点或0.9%,收10,640点;恒生科技指数升39点或0.5%,收7,972点。大市全日成交总额1,337.72亿元,沪、深港通南下交易录得净流入金额分别为14亿及15.29亿元人民币。腾讯(00700.HK)升1.3%报589元,阿里巴巴(09988.HK)股价升0.08%报250元。

【恒指三连升 招行有支持】

中资金融股普遍造好,内银股邮储行(01658.HK)及招行(03968.HK)各升2.6%及3.3%,工行(01398.HK)股价升0.6%,建行(00939.HK)股价涨0.5%。摩根大通发表报告表示,近期内地国企出现债务违约的情况,引发市场关注,拖累内银股股价表现;而国企债券占整体公司债券达90%,贷款则占商业银行企业帐之53.1%。该行预期,国企债务违约率将进一步上升,即使国企债券的违约率不断上升,但信用风险受控,据该行估计国企债券的潜在债务风险率为5.3%。

然而,摩通不预期内地国企债务爆发「明斯基时刻」(是指在信贷周期或商业周期中,资产价格开始大幅下挫的时份),至今年11月累积债务违约率为1.83%,低於今年第三季银行的不良贷款率1.96%,因此债务违约风险远未达到「响起警号」的水平;亦认为中央会逐步推出措施以解决上述问题,由於债券价格的调整,内银的投资损失将增加,但预计企业不良贷款率不会急剧上升。於内银股中,该行看好招商银行(03968.HK),主因其企业债券之业务比重较低。

【吉利受追捧 合作戴姆勒】

港股主板今日市宽略转改善,主板股票的升跌比率为23比17(上日21为22),上升股份926只(升幅2.8%);恒指成份股今日30只股份上升,16只股份下跌,升跌比率为61比32(上日65比33)。大市今日录沽空182.91亿元,占可沽空股份成交1,124.46亿元的16.266%(上日14.731%)。

汽车股上扬,长汽(02333.HK)股价扬3.2%,吉利(00175.HK)股价升6.9%收22.55元,成升幅最大蓝筹股。德国平治母公司戴姆勒(公布,公司将加强与内地吉利汽车合作,研发可以电气化的新一代混合动力汽车引擎,目标是提高引擎效益,同时以规模效应降低成本。

据外媒《Carscoops》引述德国《商报》(Handelsblatt)报道,两家公司将从2024年开始每年联合生产数十万台新的引擎,戴姆勒将负责发动机的开发,而吉利将负责在中国制造。据了解,吉利将会取代雷诺(Renault)成为戴姆勒合作伙伴,每年可节省以亿计欧元支出。(wl/a)

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