《即日市评》恒指反覆升 小米京东受压 长和弹半成
港股今日个别发展。美国药厂Moderna旗下新冠疫苗有效率达到94.5%，同时疫苗更易於分发，可在摄氏2至8度的雪柜下保存一个月，油价升超过2%，美股道指昨晚升470点或1.6%，与标普500指数同创收市高；执笔之时美汇指数处92.59，美股道指期货最新跌79点或0.3%、纳指期货最新升18或0.2%。上证综指跌0.2%收3,339，深证成指跌0.9%，内地创业板指数跌2%，沪深两市成交额共8,535亿人民币。
恒指反覆造好，今早高开133点，一度高见26,530点，其後曾倒跌41点，全日收26,415点，升33点或0.1%；国指跌28点或0.3%，收10,550点；恒生科技指数跌142点或1.8%，收7,933点。大市全日成交总额1,435.7亿元，沪、深港通南下交易录得净流入金额分别为1.86亿及8.4亿元人民币。iBond(04239.HK)首日升不足3%，iBond收报102.75元，较发行价高2.8%，每手账面赚275元，成交额逾15.6亿元。
【小米有沽压 京东绩後弱】
中资科技股下滑，小米(01810.HK)全日股价跌4.4%收24.1元，华为宣布出售荣耀品牌相关业务资产及不再持有任何股份。腾讯(00700.HK)及阿里(09988.HK)股价各走低2.6%及1.7%，美团(03690.HK)急吐4.8%收303元，京东(09618.HK)公布季业後，股价挫7.1%收341.8元。京东昨晚公布第三季业绩胜市场预期，但摩根士丹利指公司管理层对第四季指引保守，添不明朗因素；而瑞银认为投资者过度担心京东的新投资(拓展新鲜食品领域及社区团购等)。
摩根士丹利发表报告表示，京东公布今年第三季非通用会计准则纯利56亿人民币，优於该行原预期43亿人民币，虽然第三季度业绩强劲，但京东对今年第四季度收入增长和利润率的看法保守，相信会增加市场对其增添不明朗因素关注，但该行认京东的长期增长前景保持不变。保持「增持」评级及美股目标价92美元。
【长和升半成 获瑞银唱好】
港股主板今日市宽略转弱，主板股票的升跌比率为21比22(上日26为17)；恒指成份股今日32只股份上升，16只股份下跌，升跌比率为65比33(上日62比32)。大市今日录沽空178.56亿元，占可沽空股份成交1,212.14亿元的14.731%。
长和(00001.HK)全日股价上扬5.2%收58元，长实集团(01113.HK)亦涨3.1%收42.95元，成升幅最大蓝筹股。瑞银发表报告，将长和2021年底的资产净值估算提高19%至每股112元，以反映出售欧洲的铁塔资产後，现金收益增加80亿欧元及Cellnex新股价值14亿欧元。
瑞银料在交易完成後，长和净债务与总资本比率将由今年6月约26%下降至约15%，而5年内的比率则介乎20%至25%。这意味集团在维持现有信用评级的同时，亦在向股东提供更好回报上有更大空间。在80亿欧元的纯现金收益中，如果有10%至30%被分配用於股份回购，即相当於长和市值的4%至12%。该行相信结构合理，而且执行良好的回购计划，将有助於收窄资产净值折让，而公司计划在2020及2021年交易完成时考虑股份回购计划。该行将长和目标价由61元上调至67元，维持「买入」投资评级。(wl/u)
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