《大行报告》中金料美团及阿里「染蓝」 料各有10.8亿及1.7亿美元资金流入
中金发表报告表示,恒生指数公司上周五公布了其9月定期的季度指数调整结果,涵盖了主要的旗舰指数如恒生指数、恒生国企指数、恒生科技指数。此外,作为港股通投资范围基础的恒生综合指数虽然是半年度频率调整,此次也有小幅变化,因此也值得关注。整体来看,此次调整涉及范围较大,恒指、国指和恒生科技指数:新经济占比进一步提升,国企指数中接近半壁江山。
就恒生指数份股调整:此次纳入美团(03690.HK)、安踏(02020.HK)、百威亚太(01876.HK),纳入权重分别为5%、0.99%和0.46%;同时剔除太古(00019.HK)(剔除前0.23%),所以调整後成分股由50只增加至52只。
就国企指数:此次纳入9家公司,如阿里健康(00241.HK)、中海外发展(00688.HK)、中芯国际(00981.HK)、中国恒大(03333.HK)、翰森制药(03692.HK)、中国飞鹤(06186.HK)、京东(09618.HK)、网易(09999.HK),权重为0.5%到1.4%不等。
成分股调整和权重潜在资金流向:根据当前彭博统计,追踪恒生指数的ETF资金规模约为217亿美元,追踪国企指数的ETF资金规模约为52美元。若结合成分股的权重变化,该行测算潜在的被动资金流向为,首先是恒生指数:被动资金流入最大的美团、安踏、阿里、百威亚太预计将出现10.8亿、2.15亿、1.67亿、1亿美元的资金流入。被动资金流出最大的汇丰(00005.HK)、建行(00939.HK)、中国平安(02318.HK)和友邦(01299.HK)预计将出现1.8亿、1.5亿、1.1亿和1亿美元左右的资金流出。
第二是国企指数:被动资金流入最大的中芯、京东、中海外发展、中国飞鹤、阿里健康预计将出现0.7亿、0.66亿、0.61亿、0.54亿和0.54亿美元的资金流入;被动资金流出最大的万科(02202.HK)、建行、神华(01088.HK)、中国财险(02328.HK)预计将出现0.41亿、0.4亿、0.4亿、0.3亿美元左右的资金流出。
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