乘聯會:10月第三周乘用車日均零售按年增18% 料四季度按年增速維持約6%
乘聯會公布周度分析數據顯示,內地10月第三周乘用車日均零售5.3萬輛,按年增長18%,按月增長8%。10月首三周日均零售4.2萬輛,按年增長16%,按月增長3%。在9月終端強勢發力下,庫存有所下降,10月將開始進入年末廠商的備貨補庫階段,從而促進產銷的增長,車企促銷和宣傳活動持續開展,北京車展帶來的新品投放熱潮和市場關注度提升,有望進一步加速市場需求釋放。預期10月市場仍將保持積極向好的發展態勢。
報告顯示,今年三季度增速超預期,主要為去年受國六切換提前透支帶來的低基數影響,國內經濟回暖迅速,雙節假期和北京車展新品的驅動等因素帶動。
展望四季度的按年增速預計稍低於三季度按年增速。2019年由於存在國六切換,二、三季度存在著透支轉移的情況,因此同期三季度的基數相對較低,預期今年三季度增速在8%左右,預計四季度將維持在6%左右的增速水平,略低於三季度。
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