《大行报告》高盛下调对中国末季实质GDP增长预测至5.2% 降今年预测至增2%
高盛发表研究报告,指出内地9月份工业生产及零售销售数据高过市场预期,但第三季的GDP表现令市场感到意外,由第二季的增3.2%提速至增4.9%,低过市场预期。
与第二季相比,第三季的活动数据表明制造业及服务业都在持续复苏,劳动市场亦有所改善,而失业率温和下降。但第三季的实质GDP低过预期,令该行降低中国2020全年GDP预测,现时预期中国全年实质GDP增速为2%,第四季的实质GDP增速为5.2%。
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