耀才团队: 恒指能否重返24,600点成关键
耀才研究部称,隔晚(15日)美股连续第三日下跌,美国民主共和两党就新纾困方案的谈判未见进展,加上疫情反弹,欧洲确诊新冠肺炎人数急增,最新指拜登竞选阵中同样有确诊个案,同时首次申领失业救济人数达89.8万人逊预期,道指最多曾挫332点,收市靠稳微跌19点。另一方面中美关系仍处於胶着状态,特朗普指中国仍然会购买美国商品,但现阶段无意与习近平对话,而且美国亦计划推动对中国旅游禁令,中美关系仍然为後市之重大不确定性。个股方面,中芯(00981.HK)上调第三季收入及毛利率指引,收入按季增长指引由原先的1%至3%,上调为14%至16%;毛利率指引由原先的19%至21%,上调为23%至25%。
恒指早前升至24,800高位水平,已完成0.618之技术性反弹幅度,并且随即调头向下,跌穿自9月25日形成一道短期上升轨,目前将考验大市能否重返24,600即50天及100天线水平,恒指短期於10天线即24,100找到支持。
(笔者为证监会持牌人)~
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