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JS環球生活(01691.HK):全球小家電龍頭的創新、拓展與協同,首次覆蓋予以“買入”評級,
格隆匯 09-28 10:16

機構:國盛證券

評級:買入

全球化小家電龍頭版圖初現。公司以九陽起家,於2017年收購SharkNinja,截至目前持有九陽和Sharkninja股權分別為59%和100%。公司總營收由2016年11.03億美元上升至2019年的30.16億美元,其中2019年九陽貢獻總營收的42%,Sharkninja貢獻了58%。2020年上半年公司實現收入15.15億美元,同比增長22.6%。盈利能力上,2020年上半年公司毛利率大幅提升6.3pct至43.7%,淨利率上升到7.04%。

如何看分品牌的競爭優勢?1)九陽分部:公司在仍存在一定成長空間的廚房小家電市場獲得一席之地,主要是針對行業具有大單品+小爆品、渠道向線上轉移、年輕白領為消費主力的特點進行佈局:產品上,聚焦升級大單品,打造創新小爆品;渠道上,渠道圍繞客流,品牌傳播升級。從短期看,無論是從新品新渠道的推動還是考核目標的角度看,公司均處於向上週期。2)SharkNinja分部:國內吸塵器市場存在巨大空間,但也存在一定挑戰。對公司本身而言,其能夠在具有高滲透率的美國吸塵器市場獲得龍頭地位是具有較明顯競爭優勢的:產品上,保持高質量差異化,利用價格空檔打入市場;基於高效研發平台,不斷推新品提升品牌地位。營銷上,斥巨資投入廣告,對標Dyson快速提升品牌認知;通過社交媒體加強與消費者的互動,提升消費者體驗感,快速入駐美國主流銷售渠道。

能否在全球市場上覆制SEB的成功?對標SEB,主要通過併購品牌實現多產品和區域的有效運營,而中國區域更是其業績增長的主要驅動力,主要系SEB併購蘇泊爾在產品端和渠道端協同效應實現互利共贏。從九陽到JS,進一步解決步入中國吸塵器市場面臨的問題,並實現“1+1>2”的效果:1)研發協同為產品創新賦能,進一步品類矩陣化;2)渠道端,九陽與SharkNinja互利互助;3)供應鏈端,降本增效,進一步提升未來盈利能力。

盈利預測與投資建議。預計2020-2022年九陽營收增速為11.04%/10.13%/8.34%;SharkNinja增速33.99%/29.75%/25.15%。對應公司整體營收為37.47/45.83/54.73億美元,同比增速分別為24.2%/22.3%/19.4%。歸母淨利潤為2.87/4.03/5.49億美元,同比增速為580.6%/40.5%/36.2%。我們根據品牌拆分估值,認為九陽的合理市值在36億美元,SharkNinja在63.5億美元,綜合得到JS市值在85億美元(對應658億港元),對應PE為21倍,首次覆蓋予以“買入”評級。

風險提示:國內宏觀經濟放緩;原材料價格大幅波動;疫情影響帶來不確定性。

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