《大行报告》花旗维持全球今年经济跌3.9%预测 下修明年增长预测至5.4%
花旗发表全球经济前景及策略报告,该行调研的全球增长领先指标有所改善,三个要素包括市场情绪、企业财务状况及实际经济活动数据。该行决定维持全球今年经济预测按年倒退3.9%,并下调对2021年预测0.3个百分点至增长5.4%。
对於先进经济国家地区,花旗上调对相关地区今年经济预测0.2个百分点至收缩5.2%,但下调发展中国家地区今年经济预测0.3个百分点,至收缩2.2%;该行料美国今年经济预测按年倒退3.6%、估计日本及欧洲地区今年经济预测各跌5.5%及6.7%、并料中国今年经济预测按年升2.4%。
花旗估计全球经济2021年预测按年回升5.4%、料美国明年经济预测按年升5.1%、估计日本及欧洲地区明年经济预测各升2.1%及5.6%、并料中国明年经济预测按年升8.2%。
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