茅台放量下跌抱團瓦解?消費醫藥龍頭跌勢不止
來源:Wind
9月17日,貴州茅台低開低走,放量下跌,抱團股瓦解或再添一員。近期,抱團股接連大幅下跌,前期醬油股大跌後,近期豬肉、白酒股亦加入瓦解陣營。
茅台低開低走成交突破百億
9月17日,貴州茅台低開低走,截至收盤,大跌3.16%,報收於1670.52元,成交額突破100億元,作為價值投資的典範,茅台一直是眾多投資者追捧的對象。

從茅台近期股價走勢來看,自9月初創下1828元的歷史高位後,震盪回調,且從3月底突破60日均線以來,歷時5個多月再度回踩60日均線,若從3月份低位算起,茅台股價近幾個月漲幅超過70%,大幅跑贏指數及絕大多數板塊。
茅台抱團瓦解了嗎?雖然9月17日放量下跌,但從此前7月16日和7月24日放量下跌的情況看,後續股價再度創出新高,因此,對於茅台未來股價走勢仍有待觀察。

從貴州茅台當前市盈率來看,接近50倍,同時對比近十年估值變動趨勢來看,當前處於歷史最高位,對於茅台當前估值是否合理,不同機構投資者亦存在較大分歧,至於股價走勢,最終將由市場來決定。

前期抱團瓦解股跌跌不休
9月3日,海天味業放量大跌近7%開啟了9月以來抱團股瓦解的序幕,截至目前,累計跌幅超過20%,事實上,公司股價自今年3月中旬以來,漲幅已經翻倍。而從公司當前市盈率來看,仍接近90倍。

農業板塊的白馬股新希望走勢更加疲弱,自9月3日以來,公司股價累計跌幅超過30%,但若以長週期來看的話,自2019年以來,公司股價累計漲幅超過260%,可謂十足的大牛股。

此外,生豬養殖龍頭牧原股份同樣加入抱團瓦解陣營,公司股價自9月3日以來跌幅超過17%,雖然近期豬肉價格仍維持高位,但業內人士預測,未來豬肉價格將成下降通道。

消費、醫藥股率先瓦解
事實上,除上述個股外,還有多家行業龍頭公司近期跌幅較大。Wind統計顯示,9月3日以來,有39家公司股價跌幅超過15%,且總市值超過200億元。其中,正邦科技、通策醫療、北摩高科、珀萊雅、光明乳業、圓通速遞、長春高新、中炬高新、赤峯黃金、千禾味業、首鋼股份、紫光股份、華海藥業、美亞光電、中順潔柔、恆順醋業、天邦股份、天味食品等多家公司跌幅超過17%。
從相關公司行業分佈來看,日常消費和醫療保健類公司成為率先瓦解的板塊。

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