《欧洲经济》法国央行上调今明年两年GDP预测仅萎缩8.7%及增长7.4%
法国央行最新预计,法国今年GDP将重陷萎缩8.7%(6月时预测萎缩10.3%),料2021年及2022年GDP将分别增长7.4%及3%,相关预测较6月时预期要好一些,主因是今年第二季萎缩率没有如期严重及过去几个月中商业趋势调查显示反弹更为强劲,料第三季GDP将强劲反弹。
同时,预计法国今年就业职位将减少82.5万个,但料2022年将重新创造超过70万个工作岗位。此外,料法国失业率可能於明年上半年升至约11%峰值,远於高於今年失业率预测9.1%,但料2022年失业率将回落至9.7%。
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