郭思治: 後市需看传统恒指成份股之表现而定
香港股票分析师协会副主席郭思治称,上周五(28日)即月期指结算日,大市在维稳买盘支持下先微跌後倒升,恒指早市先高开49点至25,330点,其後略见反覆而一度轻回23点至25,258点,惟沽压并不明显,而买盘则持续涌现,故大市卒掉头上升,至午後更一度上升468点至25,749点,其後市势渐趋拉锯,恒指最後报收25,422点,较上日升140点,全日总成交金额为1,652亿元,从走势上看,以本月低位为7日之24,167点计,本月大市之波幅己扩阔至1,582点,论波幅当不算大,惟在交投只属一般看,技术上该可满足月内之所需。
较值得一提的是,以上周五恒指报收在25,422点计,技术上仍续稳守於10天线(25,303点),50天线(25,109点),20天线(25,096点)及100天线(24,589点)之上,论形态该有利於进一步上试或上破250天线(25,779点),惟今天己是8月份之最後一个交易日,能否出现突破当需视乎一众恒指成份股之表现而定,相对而言,可能较需视乎传统恒指成份股之表现,如友邦(01299.HK),汇控(00005.HK),中移动(00941.HK),平安(02318.HK)等,至於新经济股则在大幅急升後需稍作消化及整固。
(笔者为证监会持牌人)~
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