郭思治: 後市需看傳統恆指成份股之表現而定
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,上周五(28日)即月期指結算日,大市在維穩買盤支持下先微跌後倒升,恆指早市先高開49點至25,330點,其後略見反覆而一度輕回23點至25,258點,惟沽壓並不明顯,而買盤則持續湧現,故大市卒掉頭上升,至午後更一度上升468點至25,749點,其後市勢漸趨拉鋸,恆指最後報收25,422點,較上日升140點,全日總成交金額為1,652億元,從走勢上看,以本月低位為7日之24,167點計,本月大市之波幅己擴闊至1,582點,論波幅當不算大,惟在交投只屬一般看,技術上該可滿足月內之所需。
較值得一提的是,以上周五恆指報收在25,422點計,技術上仍續穩守於10天線(25,303點),50天線(25,109點),20天線(25,096點)及100天線(24,589點)之上,論形態該有利於進一步上試或上破250天線(25,779點),惟今天己是8月份之最後一個交易日,能否出現突破當需視乎一眾恆指成份股之表現而定,相對而言,可能較需視乎傳統恆指成份股之表現,如友邦(01299.HK),匯控(00005.HK),中移動(00941.HK),平安(02318.HK)等,至於新經濟股則在大幅急升後需稍作消化及整固。
(筆者為證監會持牌人)~
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