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《即日市评》友邦撑起恒指 小米再闯高 蒙牛受捧
阿思达克 08-28 17:05
今日为期指结算日,恒指反覆造好。美联局主席鲍威尔宣布将采取「平均通胀目标」新策略,容许通胀在一段时间内适度地高於2%的目标水平,以支持劳动力市场及经济,这意味着联储局将未来数年都不会加息;执笔之时美汇指数跌至92.5400,道指期货最新升94点或0.3%,纳指期货最新升4点或0.03%。今早人币中间价续上调12点报6.8891兑一美元逾七个月高,上证综指升1.6%收3,403、深证成指升2.3%,沪深两市成交额共9,479亿人民币。

恒指高开49点後升幅扩大,午市曾升468点一度高见25,749点,尾市升幅收窄。全日升140点或0.6%,收25,422点;国指跌19点或0.2%,收10,182点;恒生科技指数升40点或0.5%,收7,580点。大市全日成交总额1,652.86亿元,沪、深港通南下交易录得净流入金额分别为22.2亿及29.76亿元人民币。首只追踪恒生科技指数的ETF南方恒生科技ETF(03033.HK)今早大幅高开报20元,较上市起始价格约7.5元,高出1.67倍,其後急回,收报7.615元,较上市起始价格高1.5%,涉资30.45亿元。

恒指本周累升308点或1.2%、国指本周累跌29点或0.3%、恒生科技股指数本周累升41点或5.8%。美国华府对中国正在落实首阶段贸易协议感到满意,加上阿里巴巴(09988.HK)持股逾32%蚂蚁科技集团已向港交所(00388.HK)递交上市申请,科技股本周有支持。

【友邦支撑大市 腾讯股价跌】

科技股走个别,腾讯(00700.HK)及阿里巴巴今日股价各走低3.2%及1.3%,美团(03690.HK)下滑2.1%,但小米集团(01810.HK)股价曾抢高11.7%一度高见23.85元,全日升5.4%收22.5元。摩根大通发表报告指,小米次季盈利表现强劲,主要来自智能手机销售及投资收益,该行料小米中国市场市占率将受惠美国打压华为而提升,海外市场尤其是欧洲市占率仍会上升。中国每月活跃用户增长亦将带动互联网服务业务增长。该行上调小米今年全年盈测17%,2021年及2022年盈测分别上调4%及7%,目标价相应自21元上调至23元,维持「增持」评级。

友邦(01299.HK)升4.1%报80.65元,推升恒指111点。星展近日发表报告表示,友邦旗下友邦中国於今年上半年贡献总体新业务价占比达38%,首次超出友邦香港的贡献,随着中国内地未来持续开放保险业市场,认为公司处有利位置,能捕捉相关增长,料友邦中国至2026年新业务价值可额外增加26亿人民币,估计将迎来新一轮扩展业务周期。该行重申友邦「买入」投资评级,目标价由90元上调至92元。

【市宽见改善 蒙牛弹一成】

港股今日主板市宽改善,主板股票的升跌比率为23比21(上日为19比26),恒指成份股今日33只股份上升,下跌股份13只,升跌比率为66比26(上日为16比82);大市沽空248.35亿元,占可沽空股份成1,378.58亿元的18.015%(上日为17.248%)。

蒙牛(02319.HK)绩後获大行唱好,股价急弹10.4%,券商指其第二季净利润复苏强劲、料竞争环境改善,估计其毛利率透明度增加。麦格理一举将蒙牛投资评级由「跑输大市」,上调至「跑赢大市」,目标价由23元升至49元,相当明年预测市盈率30倍,指公司第二季录强劲复苏,自4月收入录双位数字增长,料行业竞争有序。

高盛指出,蒙牛半年业绩高於该行预估,内生销售增长及第二季毛利率扩张均胜预期。蒙牛上半年销售增长为同业中最快,其11%按年增长快於伊利的负2%及光明乳业的2%,受惠於公司持续向更低级别城市及县区扩展、其高端及主流室温奶带来的贡献。该行维持蒙牛「买入」评级,目标价40.3港元。

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