《業績前瞻》券商料小米(01810.HK)中期經調整淨利潤跌逾18% 聚焦營運指引
小米集團(01810.HK)本周三(26日)公布今年中期業績業績,新冠疫情在全球蔓延,對中國內地及海外智能手機及物聯網產品(如小米手環和TWS耳機)銷售帶來負面影響,綜合4間券商預測,小米今年上半年非通用會計準則的經調整淨利潤料介乎46.97億至48.39億元人民幣,較2019年同期57.16億元人民幣,按年減少15.3%至17.8%,中位數為46.97億元人民幣,按年跌17.8%。
綜合5間券商預測,小米今年上半年純利料介乎32.27億至45.85億元人民幣,較2019年同期50.78億元人民幣,按年跌9.7%至跌36.6%,中位數為38.8億元人民幣,按年下滑23.6%。
本網綜合9間券商預測,小米集團今年上半年收入料介乎980.16億至1,038.18億元人民幣,較2019年同期957.08億元人民幣,按年增加2.6%至8.5%,中位數為997.41億元人民幣,按年增加4.2%。基於中美關係緊張,投資者將關注小米最新管理層營運指引、海外業務策略(如印度市場)及互聯網服務收入等,以及華為遭美國封殺事件對小米未來國內智能手機銷售影響等。
【料純利倒退 關注新指引】
花旗上周一發表報告,預計小米今年上半年純利按年跌9.7%至45.85億人民幣、估計上半年非通用會計準則經調整淨利潤按年倒退17.8%至46.97億人民幣、料收入則按年升8.5%至1,038.18億人民幣。該行估計小米今年第二季收入按年升4.2%至541億元人民幣,毛利或因推廣及規模因素而下降。
花旗重申小米第二季手機交付2,880萬部的預測(按年跌11%),受惠於海外銷售勝預期,縱使中國及印度市場表現仍然疲弱。物聯網產品增長持續緩慢,受線下渠道人流減少及家電銷售放緩。互聯網服務在民眾回復正常生活下料將回復正常,廣告及金融科技料見按季改善。
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綜合4間券商預測,小米今年上半年非通用會計準則的經調整淨利潤料介乎46.97億至48.39億元人民幣,較2019年同期57.16億元人民幣,按年減少15.3%至17.8%,中位數為46.97億元人民幣,按年跌17.8%。
券商│今年上半年非通用會計準則經調整淨利潤預測(人民幣)│按年變幅
招商證券國際│48.39億元│-15.3%
交銀國際│48.19億元│-15.7%
花旗│46.97億元│-17.8%
瑞銀│46.13億元│-19.3%
按小米2019年上半年非通用會計準則經調整淨利潤57.16億元人民幣計算。
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綜合5間券商預測,小米今年上半年純利料介乎32.27億至45.85億元人民幣,較2019年同期50.78億元人民幣,按年跌9.7%至跌36.6%,中位數為38.8億元人民幣,按年下滑23.6%。
券商│今年上半年純利預測(人民幣)│按年變幅
花旗│45.85億元│-9.7%
瑞銀│40.04億元│-21.2%
匯豐環球研究│38.8億元│-23.6%
建銀國際│33.92億元│-33.2%
野村│32.27億元│-36.6%
按小米2019年上半年純利50.78億元人民幣計算。
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綜合9間券商預測,小米集團今年上半年收入料介乎980.16億至1,038.18億元人民幣,較2019年同期957.08億元人民幣,按年增加2.6%至8.5%,中位數為997.41億元人民幣,按年增加4.2%。
券商│今年上半年收入預測(人民幣)│按年變幅
花旗│1,038.18億元│+8.5%
招商證券國際│1,025.55億元+│7.2%
交銀國際│1,008.27億元│+5.3%
野村│1,002.3億元│+4.7%
摩根大通│997.41億元│+4.2%
美銀證券│994.9億元│+4%
建銀國際│990.57億元│+3.5%
瑞銀│981.53億元│+2.6%
匯豐環球研究│980.16億元│+2.4%
按小米2019年上半年收入957.08億元人民幣計算。
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