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郭思治: 大市形态偏稳 惟气氛略带保守
阿思达克 08-18 09:35
香港股票分析师协会副主席郭思治称,大市昨(17日)在传统恒指成份股做好带动下再创月内新高。恒指早市先轻微高开29点至25,212点,其後曾稍为拉锯而低见25,163点。惟在沽压收敛之余,买盘亦渐见主动,故市势卒逐步上升,至午後更一度高见25,588点。即是说,相对本月低位暂为7日之24,167点计,本月之波幅已扩阔至1,354点。论幅度该不算少,惟只要传统恒指成份股仍偏强,大市当然有机会再进一步上寻月内高位。

从技术上看,以恒指昨日报收在25,347点计,恒指仍续稳守於10天线(24,978点)、50天线(24,976点)、20天线(24,923点)及100天线(24,391点)之上,技术上该有利於再伺机上试250天线25,802点。但有点美中不足之处便是交投仍偏疏,以昨天之成交金额仅为1,287亿元计,动力方面明显并不相配。如情况仍未见改善,担心大市之升势会渐受规限。

另外,新经济股稍见反覆,目前较关键的是腾讯(00700.HK)及阿里巴巴(09988.HK)之走势能否摆脱整固不前之困局。由於当中略涉及政治因素,故短期走势确有点难测。

(笔者为证监会持牌人)~

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