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《大行報告》中金:恆指新經濟比重大增 料阿里「染藍」 有逾76億元資金流入
阿思達克 08-17 09:10
中金發表報告表示,就恆生指數公司上周五(14日)公布了其定期指數的調整結果,涵蓋主要的旗艦指數如恆生和國企指數,由於此次調整涉及互聯網龍頭公司、且調整範圍較大,因此將會帶來較為明顯的影響,阿里巴巴(09988.HK)、小米集團(01810.HK)、美團點評(03690.HK)等分獲納入對恆生和國企指數;新經濟比重大幅增加,提升港股長期吸引力。

該行指,就成分股和權重調整,恆生指數此次納入阿里巴巴、小米和藥明生物(02269.HK),納入權重分別為5%、2.6%和1.8%;同時剔除神華(01088.HK)、中國旺旺(00151.HK)和信和置業(000083.HK);而國企指數此次納入阿里巴巴、美團及小米,權重分別為5%、5%和3.7%,同時剔除國藥控股(01099.HK)、中信證券(00267.HK)和比亞迪(01211.HK)。

【恆指季檢公布 阿里小米「染藍」】

根據統計,追蹤恆生指數的ETF資金規模約為198億美元(約1,535億港元),追蹤國企指數的ETF資金規模約為48億美元(約372億港元)。就結合成分股的權重變化,該測算潛在的被動資金流向表述如下。

首先就恆生指數:被動資金流入最大的阿里巴巴、小米和藥明生物預計將出現9.9億美元(約76.7億港元)、5.1億美元(約39.53億港元)、3.5億美元(約327.13億港元)的資金流入;被動資金流出最大的騰訊(00700.HK)、匯控(00005.HK)、建行(00939.HK)和神華預計將出現2.9億美元(約22.5億港元)、1.4億美元(約10.85億港元)、1.2億美元(約9.3億港元)和1億美元(約7.75億港元)左右的資金流出。

國企指數被動資金流入最大的阿里巴巴、美團和小米預計將出現2.4億美元(約18.6億港元)、2.4億美元(約18.6億港元)、1.8億美元(約13.95億港元)的資金流入;被動資金流出最大的騰訊、中國平安(02318.HK)、中移動(00941.HK)預計將出現8,020萬美元(約6.22億港元)、6,430萬美元(約4.98億港元)、4,560萬美元(約35.34億港元)左右的資金流出。

【科網巨頭入選 新經濟比重增】

此次調整使得新經濟板塊佔比大幅提升。具體看恆生指數:金融板塊權重將從調整前的49%降至45%,房地產從10.4%降至9.1%;而信息技術將從1.7%跳升至4.2%,可選消費從4.8%升至9.5%。就國企指數:金融板塊從41%降至37%,房地產從8%降至7%;可選消費從5.8%大幅升至14.3%,信息技術從1.8%升至3.5%。次調整將會明顯增加指數中新經濟板塊的佔比,使得指數構成更為均衡、進而提升對投資者的吸引力。

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